Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 24/10, 14:00
Prediction: Follo vs Skeid
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.5Total
Follo1.59
Skeid1.91
1X2
Follo
Draw
Skeid
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Follo
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Skeid
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Follo
2–4
Skeid
(6 last)
- Skeid2-0Follo
- Skeid6-0Follo
- Follo0-1Skeid
- Follo5-2Skeid
- Skeid1-2Follo
- Skeid2-1Follo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Follo 1435 · Skeid 1465
| Follo | Draw | Skeid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 24% | 44% |
| Market | 32% | 23% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Skeid: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Follo | Skeid | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.2 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 1.5 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Follo 2–0–4 Skeid
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Skeid | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Follo |
| 19/10/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Skeid | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Follo |
| 27/04/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Follo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Skeid |
| 07/10/17 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Follo | 5-2 HT 3-2 | Skeid |
| 24/06/17 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Skeid | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Follo |
| 22/10/16 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Skeid | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Follo |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold TF | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 57 |
| 2 | Kjelsås | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 34 | 53 |
| 3 | Levanger | 24 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 56 | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Honefoss | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 58 | 34 | 49 |
| 5 | Grorud | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 24 | 46 |
| 6 | Stjørdals/Blink | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 36 |
| 7 | Tromsdalen | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 35 |
| 8 | Lørenskog | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 43 | 34 |
| 9 | Junkeren | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 41 | 31 |
| 10 | Rana FK | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 44 | 30 |
| 11 | Skeid | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 52 | 23 |
| 12 | Follo | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 30 | 51 | 17 |
| 13 | Ullensaker/Kisa | 24 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 30 | 78 | 13 |
| 14 | Trygg/Lade | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 30 | 60 | 10 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Follo | Skeid |
|---|---|---|
| Ullensaker/Kisa | 2-4 L | 4-0 W |
| Kjelsås | 2-2 D | 4-1 W |
| Eidsvold TF | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Levanger | 2-5 L | 0-5 L |
| Tromsdalen | 1-0 W | 0-6 L |
| Honefoss | 1-2 L | 4-3 W |
| Rana FK | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Follo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/09 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 26/08 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Skeid
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/10 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-1 | 4-3 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-2 | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-4 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Follo vs Skeid?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Skeid win (45%). Probabilities: Follo 32%, draw 23%, Skeid 45%.
How many goals are expected in Follo vs Skeid?
The model expects 3.5 goals (Follo 1.59 · Skeid 1.91), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Follo vs Skeid?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.