Football · South Korea K League 2 · 10/10, 07:00

Prediction: Paju Frontier FC vs Busan I Park

Team pages: Paju Frontier FC · Busan I Park

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Paju Frontier FC1.41

Busan I Park0.77

1X2

51% 30% 19%

Paju Frontier FC Draw Busan I Park

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Paju Frontier FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWDLDW

Busan I Park 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLDDLLWL

Head-to-head

Paju Frontier FC 0–1 Busan I Park (1 last)

Busan I Park4-1Paju Frontier FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paju Frontier FC (rating 1498 vs 1457).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paju Frontier FC	Busan I Park
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.1	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.4	1.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.86

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.45 → 3.45	Pinn 3.45
X	3.63 → 3.63	Pinn 3.63
2	2.01 → 2.01	Pinn 2.01

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:44 +375’	3.45	3.63	2.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paju Frontier FC 0–0–1 Busan I Park

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 South Korea K League 2	Busan I Park	4-1 HT 1-0	Paju Frontier FC

Standings · South Korea K League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	25	16	5	4	39	20	53
2	Suwon FC	25	13	9	3	50	29	48
3	Seoul E-Land FC	26	14	6	6	45	30	48
4	Daegu FC	26	13	7	6	48	35	46
5	Hwaseong FC	26	12	8	6	41	27	44
6	Busan I Park	26	12	5	9	41	34	41
7	Gimpo FC	25	8	11	6	31	30	35
8	Chungnam Asan FC	25	9	7	9	34	31	34
9	Gyeongnam FC	25	8	10	7	31	30	34
10	Seongnam FC	25	7	10	8	28	30	31
11	Chungbuk Cheongju	26	5	14	7	31	41	29
12	Paju Frontier FC	25	8	5	12	24	28	29
13	Yongin FC	25	5	12	8	31	35	27
14	Cheonan City	26	4	11	11	30	37	23
15	Ansan Greeners FC	26	6	4	16	27	49	22
16	Jeonnam Dragons	25	4	9	12	28	43	21
17	Gimhae FC 2008	25	2	7	16	19	49	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paju Frontier FC	Busan I Park
Gimhae FC 2008	2-0 W	2-0 W
Daegu FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Seoul E-Land FC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Seongnam FC	2-1 W	0-1 L
Suwon FC	0-1 L	1-2 L
Ansan Greeners FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
Suwon Bluewings	0-0 D	1-4 L
Hwaseong FC	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Paju Frontier FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paju Frontier FC

WDLWLWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
04/09	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
29/08	Gyeongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
23/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
16/08	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
08/08	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
02/08	Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
26/07	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
19/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
11/07	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-1	2	2	W

Busan I Park

LLLLDDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Gimpo FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
13/09	Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
05/09	Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
30/08	Suwon FC South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
22/08	Daegu FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
15/08	Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
07/08	Yongin FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	0-2	5	2	L
02/08	Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2	0-0	1-2	6	4	L
25/07	Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
18/07	Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paju Frontier FC vs Busan I Park?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paju Frontier FC win (51%). Probabilities: Paju Frontier FC 51%, draw 30%, Busan I Park 19%.

How many goals are expected in Paju Frontier FC vs Busan I Park?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Paju Frontier FC 1.41 · Busan I Park 0.77), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Paju Frontier FC vs Busan I Park?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.