Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 12/09, 14:00

Prediction: Askøy vs Stord

Team pages: Askøy · Stord

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

Askøy2.32

Stord1.51

1X2

55% 21% 24%

Askøy Draw Stord

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Askøy 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDWWL

Stord 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWLDLDDL

Head-to-head

Askøy 2–1 Stord (3 last)

Stord0-4Askøy
Stord4-0Askøy
Askøy5-0Stord

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Askøy (rating 1546 vs 1479).
H2H favours Askøy: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Askøy	Stord
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1.6 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.8 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 5	1 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.87

Under 41.84

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.41 → 1.41	Pinn 1.41
X	4.69 → 4.69	Pinn 4.69
2	4.92 → 4.92	Pinn 4.92

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
03:20 +179’	1.41	4.69	4.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Askøy 2–0–1 Stord

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Norway Division 3 Group 3	Stord	0-4 HT 0-2	Askøy
05/10/24 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Stord	4-0 HT 2-0	Askøy
20/04/24 Norway Division 3 Group 1	Askøy	5-0 HT 0-0	Stord

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Os	18	15	0	3	67	30	45
2	Askøy	18	11	5	2	32	18	38
3	Djerv 1919	18	10	5	3	42	24	35
4	Fana	18	9	2	7	48	38	29
5	Sogndal 2	18	8	3	7	51	35	27
6	Brann 2	18	7	6	5	40	38	27
7	Førde	18	8	3	7	33	32	27
8	Austevoll	18	7	6	5	35	39	27
9	Vard Haugesund	18	7	5	6	39	36	26
10	Asane Fotball 2	18	4	6	8	31	40	18
11	Stord	18	3	8	7	32	48	17
12	Gneist	18	4	2	12	32	53	14
13	Varegg	18	3	4	11	25	38	13
14	Fyllingsdalen	18	1	3	14	15	53	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Askøy	Stord
Varegg	3-1 W	1-1 D
Sogndal 2	0-0 D	2-0 W
Fyllingsdalen	1-0 W	2-2 D
Førde	2-0 W	1-1 D
Os	3-0 W	2-8 L
Brann 2	1-7 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Askøy (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Askøy

LWWWWWDWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-2	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
15/08	Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	3-1	4	5	W
10/08	Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
01/08	Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/07	Stord Norway Division 3 Group 3	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
27/06	Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/06	Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
13/06	Os Norway Division 3 Group 3	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
01/06	Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-4	1-7	7	0	L

Stord

DWDWLDLDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3	3-4	3-5	–	–	L
30/08	Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/08	Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
08/08	Os Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-3	2-8	–	–	L
03/08	Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
25/07	Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
27/06	Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/06	Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
15/06	Asane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3	0-1	2-1	0	3	W
30/05	Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3	1-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Askøy vs Stord?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Askøy win (55%). Probabilities: Askøy 55%, draw 21%, Stord 24%.

How many goals are expected in Askøy vs Stord?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Askøy 2.32 · Stord 1.51), with a 54% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Askøy vs Stord?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.