Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 03/10, 13:00
Prediction: Stord vs Vard Haugesund
Team pages: Stord · Vard Haugesund
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.43Total
Stord2.24
Vard Haugesund2.19
1X2
Stord
Draw
Vard Haugesund
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 64%
Most likely score
2-2 7%
Recent form · 10 last
Stord
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Vard Haugesund
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stord
1–1–4
Vard Haugesund
(6 last)
- Vard Haugesund4-1Stord
- Stord1-4Vard Haugesund
- Vard Haugesund3-0Stord
- Stord0-0Vard Haugesund
- Vard Haugesund1-2Stord
- Stord1-3Vard Haugesund
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vard Haugesund (rating 1464 vs 1511).
- H2H favours Vard Haugesund: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stord | Vard Haugesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.9 | 2.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 4 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stord 1–1–4 Vard Haugesund
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Vard Haugesund | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Stord |
| 14/09/19 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Stord | 1-4 | Vard Haugesund |
| 22/06/19 Norway Division 3 Group 4 | Vard Haugesund | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Stord |
| 26/08/16 Norway Division 2 Group 3 | Stord | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vard Haugesund |
| 14/05/16 Norway Division 2 Group 3 | Vard Haugesund | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Stord |
| 02/08/14 Norway Division 2 Group 3 | Stord | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Vard Haugesund |
Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os | 21 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 74 | 39 | 48 |
| 2 | Djerv 1919 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 53 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Askøy | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Brann 2 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 40 | 36 |
| 5 | Vard Haugesund | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 40 | 35 |
| 6 | Fana | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 56 | 43 | 35 |
| 7 | Austevoll | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 47 | 30 |
| 8 | Førde | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 46 | 28 |
| 9 | Sogndal 2 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 27 |
| 10 | Stord | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 56 | 21 |
| 11 | Varegg | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 42 | 20 |
| 12 | Åsane Fotball 2 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 47 | 19 |
| 13 | Gneist | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 36 | 57 | 18 |
| 14 | Fyllingsdalen | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 64 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stord | Vard Haugesund |
|---|---|---|
| Djerv 1919 | 3-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Fana | 3-5 L | 3-2 W |
| Førde | 1-1 D | 9-0 W |
| Os | 2-8 L | 1-2 L |
| Brann 2 | 1-1 D | 4-4 D |
| Sogndal 2 | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Vard Haugesund (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stord
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Fyllingsdalen Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/09 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 05/09 | Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-4 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/08 | Åsane Fotball 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Os Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-3 | 2-8 | – | – | L |
| 03/08 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Askøy Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Vard Haugesund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Fana Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Førde Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
3-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Brann 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Os Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Austevoll Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/08 | Djerv 1919 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Gneist Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/07 | Sogndal 2 Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
1-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Varegg Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stord vs Vard Haugesund?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stord win (41%). Probabilities: Stord 41%, draw 21%, Vard Haugesund 39%.
How many goals are expected in Stord vs Vard Haugesund?
The model expects 4.43 goals (Stord 2.24 · Vard Haugesund 2.19), with a 50% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Stord vs Vard Haugesund?
The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.