Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 15/08, 14:00

Prediction: Varegg vs Askøy

Team pages: Varegg · Askøy

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.98Total
Varegg1.14
Askøy1.84
1X2
23% 23% 54%
Varegg Draw Askøy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Varegg 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLLLLDDLWW
Askøy 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDDLWWWWWD
Head-to-head
Varegg 0–1 Askøy (1 last)
  • Askøy2-1Varegg
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Varegg 1471 · Askøy 1560
VareggDrawAskøy
Our model22%25%53%
Market24%22%54%
Estimated total (ours) 2.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Askøy (rating 1471 vs 1560).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VareggAskøy
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.81.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.84 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 02 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Varegg 001 Askøy

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Askøy2-1
HT 1-0
Varegg

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Os 151203 602836
2 Askøy 15951 251432
3 Djerv 1919 15753 342126
4 Vard Haugesund 15744 332825
5 Brann 2 15744 332925
6 Førde 15726 302823
7 Fana 15717 383222
8 Sogndal 2 14635 372721
9 Austevoll 15555 303620
10 Stord 15366 264015
11 Åsane Fotball 2 15348 223213
12 Gneist 154110 284613
13 Varegg 14338 202812
14 Fyllingsdalen 151311 15426

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVareggAskøy
Fyllingsdalen 4-0 W 1-0 W
Fana 4-2 W 2-2 D
Os 0-4 L 3-0 W
Stord 1-1 D 4-0 W
Gneist 0-1 L 2-0 W
Djerv 1919 2-3 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 3 L 4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Askøy (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Varegg

DLLLLDDLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Fyllingsdalen
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-0 4-0 W
02/08 Fana
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-1 4-2 W
26/07 Os
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 0-4 31 L
28/06 Vard Haugesund
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 1-1 11 D
20/06 Stord
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 1-1 D
13/06 Gneist
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 0-1 63 L
30/05 Djerv 1919
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-3 2-3 52 L
16/05 Åsane Fotball 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-2 0-2 45 L
09/05 Askøy
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 1-2 L
01/05 Austevoll
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 2-2 D

Askøy

WDDLWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Sogndal 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 0-0 44 D
01/08 Fyllingsdalen
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 1-0 W
25/07 Stord
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-0 4-0 W
27/06 Førde
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-0 2-0 W
20/06 Gneist
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-0 2-0 W
13/06 Os
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-0 3-0 W
01/06 Brann 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-4 1-7 70 L
25/05 Djerv 1919
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 0-0 D
16/05 Fana
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-1 2-2 D
09/05 Varegg
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-0 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Varegg vs Askøy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Askøy win (54%). Probabilities: Varegg 23%, draw 23%, Askøy 54%.

How many goals are expected in Varegg vs Askøy?

The model expects 2.98 goals (Varegg 1.14 · Askøy 1.84), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Varegg vs Askøy?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.