Football · Norway Division 3 Group 3 · 15/08, 12:00

Prediction: Gneist vs Førde

Team pages: Gneist · Førde

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.21Total
Gneist1.87
Førde2.34
1X2
31% 21% 48%
Gneist Draw Førde
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Gneist 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LDLLWLLLWL
Førde 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWLWLDDW
Head-to-head
Gneist 1–2 Førde (3 last)
  • Førde2-1Gneist
  • Gneist4-2Førde
  • Førde3-2Gneist
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gneist 1433 · Førde 1542
GneistDrawFørde
Our model31%21%48%
Market31%21%48%
Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Førde (rating 1433 vs 1542).
  • H2H favours Førde: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GneistFørde
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 3.42.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.51 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 3.81.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 03.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gneist 102 Førde

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Norway Division 3 Group 3
Førde2-1
HT 1-1
Gneist
20/09/25
Norway Division 3 Group 4
Gneist4-2
HT 2-2
Førde
24/05/25
Norway Division 3 Group 4
Førde3-2
HT 2-1
Gneist

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Os 151203 602836
2 Askøy 15951 251432
3 Djerv 1919 15753 342126
4 Vard Haugesund 15744 332825
5 Brann 2 15744 332925
6 Førde 15726 302823
7 Fana 15717 383222
8 Sogndal 2 14635 372721
9 Austevoll 15555 303620
10 Stord 15366 264015
11 Åsane Fotball 2 15348 223213
12 Gneist 154110 284613
13 Varegg 14338 202812
14 Fyllingsdalen 151311 15426

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGneistFørde
Fana 0-4 L 2-1 W
Vard Haugesund 2-1 W 0-1 L
Brann 2 0-3 L 7-0 W
Askøy 0-2 L 0-2 L
Sogndal 2 4-6 L 3-3 D
Åsane Fotball 2 3-3 D 4-0 W
Austevoll 4-5 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Førde (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gneist

LDLLWLLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Fana
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-2 0-4 L
01/08 Vard Haugesund
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-1 2-1 W
27/07 Brann 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 0-3 45 L
27/06 Djerv 1919
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-3 2-6 L
20/06 Askøy
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 0-2 L
13/06 Varegg
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 1-0 23 W
07/06 Frøya
Norway Cup
0-2 2-4 33 L
01/06 Sogndal 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
3-2 4-6 L
26/05 Åsane Fotball 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-1 3-3 40 D
14/05 Austevoll
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-2 4-5 63 L

Førde

WWWWLWLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Brann 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
3-0 7-0 W
03/08 Sogndal 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-0 3-3 D
25/07 Austevoll
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 1-1 D
27/06 Askøy
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 0-2 L
22/06 Åsane Fotball 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-0 4-0 61 W
13/06 Vard Haugesund
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 0-1 L
30/05 Fana
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 2-1 26 W
23/05 Os
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-1 2-1 W
14/05 Stord
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-2 3-2 W
09/05 Gneist
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-1 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gneist vs Førde?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Førde win (48%). Probabilities: Gneist 31%, draw 21%, Førde 48%.

How many goals are expected in Gneist vs Førde?

The model expects 4.21 goals (Gneist 1.87 · Førde 2.34), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gneist vs Førde?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.