Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 26/07, 14:30
Prediction: Jerv vs Lysekloster
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Jerv2.2
Lysekloster1.02
1X2
Jerv
Draw
Lysekloster
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Jerv
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Lysekloster
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jerv
1–3
Lysekloster
(4 last)
- Jerv0-1Lysekloster
- Lysekloster3-0Jerv
- Lysekloster3-0Jerv
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jerv (rating 1594 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Lysekloster: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jerv | Lysekloster | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jerv 1–0–3 Lysekloster
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Jerv | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lysekloster |
| 29/06/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Lysekloster | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Jerv |
| 07/09/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Lysekloster | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Jerv |
| 23/06/24 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Jerv | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Lysekloster |
Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jerv | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 10 | 32 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Kvik Halden FK | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Mjondalen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 23 |
| 5 | Bjarg | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sotra | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 18 |
| 7 | Notodden | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Pors Grenland | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 18 |
| 9 | Træff | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
| 10 | Arendal | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 11 |
| 11 | Lysekloster | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 11 |
| 12 | Sandviken | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
| 13 | Eik Tønsberg | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 4 |
| 14 | Vidar | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 3 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jerv | Lysekloster |
|---|---|---|
| Brattvåg | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Sandviken | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Notodden | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Kvik Halden FK | 2-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Arendal | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Bjarg | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Eik Tønsberg | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Træff | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Pors Grenland | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 7 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Jerv (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Lysekloster
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerv vs Lysekloster?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jerv win (63%). Probabilities: Jerv 63%, draw 21%, Lysekloster 15%.
How many goals are expected in Jerv vs Lysekloster?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Jerv 2.2 · Lysekloster 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jerv vs Lysekloster?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.