Prediction: Bjarg vs Pors Grenland

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Bjarg2.01
Pors Grenland1.16
1X2
57% 22% 21%
Bjarg Draw Pors Grenland
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bjarg 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
LWDLLWWWWL
Pors Grenland 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWDWLDWDWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bjarg 1513 · Pors Grenland 1498
BjargDrawPors Grenland
Our model56%23%20%
Market57%21%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BjargPors Grenland
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.81.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 10.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.11.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.22.5 / 0.1

Standings · Norway Division 2 Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Jerv 121020 251032
2 Brattvåg 12813 22925
3 Kvik Halden FK 12732 221324
4 Mjondalen 12723 221523
5 Bjarg 12714 221922
6 Sotra 12534 241318
7 Notodden 12534 191118
8 Træff 12444 232116
9 Pors Grenland 12435 141715
10 Arendal 12255 142011
11 Lysekloster 12255 152411
12 Sandviken 12327 112211
13 Eik Tønsberg 121110 8264
14 Vidar 12039 9303

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBjargPors Grenland
Mjondalen 0-1 L 1-0 W
Vidar 3-1 W 1-1 D
Træff 3-2 W 3-3 D
Eik Tønsberg 2-0 W 2-0 W
Sotra 2-1 W 0-0 D
Jerv 1-3 L 0-3 L
Lysekloster 2-2 D 2-1 W
Notodden 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Bjarg (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bjarg

LWDLLWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Mjondalen
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 0-1 12 L
20/06 Vidar
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-0 3-1 W
14/06 Træff
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-1 3-2 87 W
30/05 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-0 42 W
25/05 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-1 43 W
14/05 Brattvåg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-5 2-6 23 L
10/05 Jerv
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 1-3 64 L
02/05 Lysekloster
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 2-2 55 D
25/04 Notodden
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 1-0 46 W
18/04 Kvik Halden FK
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 1-2 34 L

Pors Grenland

LWDWLDWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Arendal
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-1 2-4 14 L
20/06 Eik Tønsberg
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 2-0 52 W
13/06 Vidar
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 1-1 73 D
31/05 Mjondalen
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 1-0 63 W
24/05 Træff
Norway Division 2 Group 1
1-2 3-3 12 D
16/05 Notodden
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-2 1-2 22 L
09/05 Lysekloster
Norway Division 2 Group 1
2-1 2-1 35 W
03/05 Sotra
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 0-0 32 D
25/04 Sandviken
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-0 1-0 81 W
18/04 Jerv
Norway Division 2 Group 1
0-1 0-3 32 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bjarg vs Pors Grenland?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bjarg win (57%). Probabilities: Bjarg 57%, draw 22%, Pors Grenland 21%.

How many goals are expected in Bjarg vs Pors Grenland?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Bjarg 2.01 · Pors Grenland 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bjarg vs Pors Grenland?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.