Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 29/08, 15:00

Prediction: Rælingen vs Oppsal

Team pages: Rælingen · Oppsal

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Rælingen2.03

Oppsal1.81

1X2

43% 22% 35%

Rælingen Draw Oppsal

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Rælingen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLLWDW

Oppsal 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWDDWL

Head-to-head

Rælingen 0–1 Oppsal (1 last)

Oppsal3-1Rælingen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rælingen 1500 · Oppsal 1513

	Rælingen	Draw	Oppsal
Our model	43%	23%	34%
Market	44%	21%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rælingen	Oppsal
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.4	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	3 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.05

X4.20

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.88

Under 3.751.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:27 +2’	2.05	4.20	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rælingen 0–0–1 Oppsal

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Oppsal	3-1 HT 1-0	Rælingen

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	16	13	2	1	60	21	41
2	Elverum	16	11	1	4	42	23	34
3	Rade IL	16	10	2	4	60	29	32
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	16	9	2	5	20	12	29
5	Lyn 1896 II	16	8	2	6	40	35	26
6	Ørn Horten	16	7	4	5	27	24	25
7	Oppsal	16	7	3	6	26	24	24
8	Rælingen	16	7	3	6	34	40	24
9	Drøbak/Frogn	16	6	4	6	28	21	22
10	Sandefjord 2	16	7	1	8	41	35	22
11	Sarpsborg 2	16	4	3	9	34	39	15
12	Fram	16	4	3	9	24	34	15
13	Brumunddal	16	2	2	12	18	72	8
14	Bjørkelangen	16	1	0	15	11	56	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rælingen	Oppsal
Rade IL	1-1 D	1-0 W
Ørn Horten	2-0 W	0-2 L
Bjørkelangen	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rælingen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rælingen

WLDLWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	4-2	–	–	W
09/08	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
01/08	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	2-0	2	7	W
25/07	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	2-4	1	3	L
27/06	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-3	5	2	L
20/06	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-1	9	2	W
13/06	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-5	2-7	1	1	L
31/05	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
25/05	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	1-5	2	3	L
14/05	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-1	4-1	6	3	W

Oppsal

WLWWLWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
08/08	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
03/08	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	2-2	3	4	D
27/07	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
27/06	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	3-1	6	2	W
20/06	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
13/06	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	4-3	13	5	W
30/05	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	2-0	4	2	W
23/05	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
14/05	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rælingen vs Oppsal?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rælingen win (43%). Probabilities: Rælingen 43%, draw 22%, Oppsal 35%.

How many goals are expected in Rælingen vs Oppsal?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Rælingen 2.03 · Oppsal 1.81), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rælingen vs Oppsal?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.