Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 31/08, 18:00

Prediction: Lyn 1896 II vs Sandefjord 2

Team pages: Lyn 1896 II · Sandefjord 2

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.48Total

Lyn 1896 II2.58

Sandefjord 21.9

1X2

52% 20% 28%

Lyn 1896 II Draw Sandefjord 2

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Lyn 1896 II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWDWWL

Sandefjord 2 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWLDLLLLW

Head-to-head

Lyn 1896 II 1–2 Sandefjord 2 (3 last)

Sandefjord 23-0Lyn 1896 II
Sandefjord 23-2Lyn 1896 II
Lyn 1896 II3-1Sandefjord 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lyn 1896 II 1504 · Sandefjord 2 1477

	Lyn 1896 II	Draw	Sandefjord 2
Our model	52%	20%	28%
Market	52%	20%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 4.48 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sandefjord 2: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lyn 1896 II	Sandefjord 2
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 2.6	2.5 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.4	1.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.8	2.5 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X4.50

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.85

Under 4.251.95

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 5.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:13 +8’	1.70	4.50	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lyn 1896 II 1–0–2 Sandefjord 2

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/05/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Sandefjord 2	3-0 HT 2-0	Lyn 1896 II
04/08/25 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Sandefjord 2	3-2 HT 1-0	Lyn 1896 II
28/04/25 Norway Division 3 Group 4	Lyn 1896 II	3-1 HT 2-1	Sandefjord 2

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	16	13	2	1	60	21	41
2	Elverum	16	11	1	4	42	23	34
3	Rade IL	16	10	2	4	60	29	32
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	16	9	2	5	20	12	29
5	Lyn 1896 II	16	8	2	6	40	35	26
6	Ørn Horten	16	7	4	5	27	24	25
7	Oppsal	16	7	3	6	26	24	24
8	Rælingen	16	7	3	6	34	40	24
9	Drøbak/Frogn	16	6	4	6	28	21	22
10	Sandefjord 2	16	7	1	8	41	35	22
11	Sarpsborg 2	16	4	3	9	34	39	15
12	Fram	16	4	3	9	24	34	15
13	Brumunddal	16	2	2	12	18	72	8
14	Bjørkelangen	16	1	0	15	11	56	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lyn 1896 II	Sandefjord 2
Fram	4-3 W	4-0 W
Brumunddal	9-1 W	2-2 D
Oppsal	2-2 D	3-4 L
Gjøvik-Lyn	0-0 D	1-3 L
Drøbak/Frogn	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lyn 1896 II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lyn 1896 II

LLDWLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	1-4	2	2	L
10/08	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-3	4-3	3	4	W
03/08	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-1	9-1	–	–	W
27/07	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	2-2	2	4	D
28/06	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	5-3	3	4	W
20/06	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-3	3-5	5	3	L
15/06	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
01/06	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
26/05	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
19/05	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-2	3-6	6	3	L

Sandefjord 2

LWWLDLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
10/08	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-3	2	1	L
25/07	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-3	3-5	–	–	L
27/06	Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-4	9	3	L
21/06	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-1	2-2	12	2	D
13/06	Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	3-4	4	5	L
06/06	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	3-1	8	6	W
31/05	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	4-0	2	2	W
14/05	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	2-3	8	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lyn 1896 II vs Sandefjord 2?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lyn 1896 II win (52%). Probabilities: Lyn 1896 II 52%, draw 20%, Sandefjord 2 28%.

How many goals are expected in Lyn 1896 II vs Sandefjord 2?

The model expects 4.48 goals (Lyn 1896 II 2.58 · Sandefjord 2 1.9), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lyn 1896 II vs Sandefjord 2?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.