Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 29/08, 14:00

Prediction: Drøbak/Frogn vs Fram

Team pages: Drøbak/Frogn · Fram

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.5Total

Drøbak/Frogn1.9

Fram1.6

1X2

45% 23% 32%

Drøbak/Frogn Draw Fram

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Drøbak/Frogn 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDLDWLWL

Fram 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDWLLW

Head-to-head

Drøbak/Frogn 1–1–1 Fram (3 last)

Fram1-1Drøbak/Frogn
Fram1-2Drøbak/Frogn
Drøbak/Frogn0-2Fram

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Drøbak/Frogn 1519 · Fram 1461

	Drøbak/Frogn	Draw	Fram
Our model	44%	24%	32%
Market	45%	22%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.5 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Drøbak/Frogn (rating 1519 vs 1461).
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Drøbak/Frogn	Fram
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.7	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X4.00

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:20 +11’	2.00	4.00	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Drøbak/Frogn 1–1–1 Fram

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/26 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Fram	1-1 HT 0-0	Drøbak/Frogn
16/08/25 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Fram	1-2 HT 1-0	Drøbak/Frogn
31/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 6	Drøbak/Frogn	0-2 HT 0-1	Fram

Standings · Norway Division 3 Group 6

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lillehammer	16	13	2	1	60	21	41
2	Elverum	16	11	1	4	42	23	34
3	Rade IL	16	10	2	4	60	29	32
4	Gjøvik-Lyn	16	9	2	5	20	12	29
5	Lyn 1896 II	16	8	2	6	40	35	26
6	Ørn Horten	16	7	4	5	27	24	25
7	Oppsal	16	7	3	6	26	24	24
8	Rælingen	16	7	3	6	34	40	24
9	Drøbak/Frogn	16	6	4	6	28	21	22
10	Sandefjord 2	16	7	1	8	41	35	22
11	Sarpsborg 2	16	4	3	9	34	39	15
12	Fram	16	4	3	9	24	34	15
13	Brumunddal	16	2	2	12	18	72	8
14	Bjørkelangen	16	1	0	15	11	56	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Drøbak/Frogn	Fram
Sandefjord 2	1-0 W	0-4 L
Bjørkelangen	3-0 W	2-0 W
Lyn 1896 II	2-1 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Drøbak/Frogn (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Drøbak/Frogn

WWWDLDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
10/08	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
01/08	Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
25/07	Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	7-1	8	2	W
27/06	Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
13/06	Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
31/05	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/05	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	2-1	9	5	W
14/05	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	3-2	3	1	W

Fram

LWLLLDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
10/08	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	3-2	3-4	3	4	L
01/08	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
25/07	Bjørkelangen Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
27/06	Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Sarpsborg 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
15/06	Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
31/05	Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6	0-2	0-4	5	2	L
25/05	Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6	2-0	5-1	10	3	W
14/05	Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6	1-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Drøbak/Frogn vs Fram?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Drøbak/Frogn win (45%). Probabilities: Drøbak/Frogn 45%, draw 23%, Fram 32%.

How many goals are expected in Drøbak/Frogn vs Fram?

The model expects 3.5 goals (Drøbak/Frogn 1.9 · Fram 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Drøbak/Frogn vs Fram?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.