Football · USA NWSL Women · 11/07, 02:00

Prediction: Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)

Expected goals: 2.6 (Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.61 · Bay FC (W) 0.99). The model gives 51% home, 27% draw, 22% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Racing Louisville FC (W) with 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Bay FC (W) has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Racing Louisville FC (W) and 3 for Bay FC (W).

51%1
51% 27% 22%
Model analysis
Expected goals2.6Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.61 · Bay FC (W) 0.99
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Bay FC (W): 3-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Racing Louisville FC (W)Bay FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.80.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 1.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/50/50%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 3.52 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 02.8 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Louisville FC (W) 103 Bay FC (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/11/25
USA NWSL Women
Racing Louisville FC (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Bay FC (W)
23/03/25
USA NWSL Women
Bay FC (W)2-0
HT 2-0
Racing Louisville FC (W)
08/09/24
USA NWSL Women
Bay FC (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Racing Louisville FC (W)
29/06/24
USA NWSL Women
Racing Louisville FC (W)0-1
HT 0-0
Bay FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Diego Wave (W) 14914 211328
2 Washington Spirit (W) 12732 201024
3 Utah Royals (W) 12732 181024
4 Portland Thorns (W) 13733 201424
5 Kansas City Current (W) 13805 211724
6 North Carolina Courage (W) 12633 201421
7 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 12633 12721
8 Orlando Pride (W) 13526 181917
9 Angel City FC (W) 12516 181416
10 Denver Summit FC (W) 12435 171615
11 Reign FC (W) 12426 111614
12 Houston Dash (W) 13427 152114
13 Bay FC (W) 12336 111912
14 Boston Legacy FC (W) 13247 132110
15 Chicago Stars (W) 12309 5249
16 Racing Louisville FC (W) 11218 15207

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Louisville FC (W)

WLDWLWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/07 Portland Thorns (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-3 0-4 74 L
04/07 Pittsburgh Riveters SC (W)
USA USL W-League Women
0-5 L
28/06 Toledo Villa Women
USA USL W-League Women
3-0 W
25/06 Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women
USA USL W-League Women
4-3 W
18/06 Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women
USA USL W-League Women
2-1 W
11/06 Indy Eleven Women
USA USL W-League Women
0-3 L
07/06 Toledo Villa Women
USA USL W-League Women
3-0 W
31/05 Dayton Dutch Lions FC Women
USA USL W-League Women
1-1 D
30/05 Denver Summit FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-1 03 L
28/05 Indy Eleven Women
USA USL W-League Women
1-0 W

Bay FC (W)

WLLWDDLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Boston Legacy FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
2-1 2-2 64 D
30/05 Orlando Pride (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 1-3 40 L
24/05 Chicago Stars (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-1 57 L
21/05 Portland Thorns (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 0-2 82 L
16/05 Boston Legacy FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-1 93 D
10/05 Utah Royals (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-0 44 D
04/05 San Diego Wave (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-0 26 W
25/04 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-3 0-3 21 L
05/04 Washington Spirit (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-2 31 L
29/03 North Carolina Courage (W)
USA NWSL Women
3-0 3-1 43 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Louisville FC (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Racing Louisville FC (W) 51%, draw 27%, Bay FC (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Racing Louisville FC (W) 1.61 · Bay FC (W) 0.99), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Louisville FC (W) vs Bay FC (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.