Football · USA NWSL Women · 23/08, 00:30
Prediction: Kansas City Current (W) vs Reign FC (W)
Team pages: Kansas City Current (W) · Reign FC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Kansas City Current (W)1.7
Reign FC (W)1.17
1X2
Kansas City Current (W)
Draw
Reign FC (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kansas City Current (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Reign FC (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kansas City Current (W)
3–1–2
Reign FC (W)
(6 last)
- Reign FC (W)3-0Kansas City Current (W)
- Kansas City Current (W)2-0Reign FC (W)
- Reign FC (W)1-0Kansas City Current (W)
- Kansas City Current (W)5-2Reign FC (W)
- Reign FC (W)0-0Kansas City Current (W)
- Kansas City Current (W)1-0Reign FC (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kansas City Current (W) 1500 · Reign FC (W) 1524
| Kansas City Current (W) | Draw | Reign FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kansas City Current (W): 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kansas City Current (W) | Reign FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.9 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kansas City Current (W) 3–1–2 Reign FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/26 USA NWSL Women | Reign FC (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Kansas City Current (W) |
| 21/09/25 USA NWSL Women | Kansas City Current (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Reign FC (W) |
| 03/05/25 USA NWSL Women | Reign FC (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Kansas City Current (W) |
| 10/06/24 USA NWSL Women | Kansas City Current (W) | 5-2 HT 2-2 | Reign FC (W) |
| 09/05/24 USA NWSL Women | Reign FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kansas City Current (W) |
| 19/08/23 USA NWSL Women | Kansas City Current (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Reign FC (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit (W) | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 37 |
| 3 | Utah Royals (W) | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 36 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns (W) | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 34 |
| 5 | San Diego Wave (W) | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 33 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 30 |
| 7 | Kansas City Current (W) | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | Reign FC (W) | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 25 | 27 |
| 9 | Houston Dash (W) | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 26 |
| 10 | Angel City FC (W) | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 20 | 25 |
| 11 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
| 12 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 37 | 23 |
| 13 | Orlando Pride (W) | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 23 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 32 | 20 |
| 15 | Bay FC (W) | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | 19 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars (W) | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 39 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kansas City Current (W) | Reign FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Angel City FC (W) | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Racing Louisville FC (W) | 5-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| San Diego Wave (W) | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Portland Thorns (W) | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Reign FC (W) (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kansas City Current (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 02/08 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/07 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/07 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
Reign FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 10/08 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kansas City Current (W) vs Reign FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kansas City Current (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Kansas City Current (W) 49%, draw 25%, Reign FC (W) 26%.
How many goals are expected in Kansas City Current (W) vs Reign FC (W)?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Kansas City Current (W) 1.7 · Reign FC (W) 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kansas City Current (W) vs Reign FC (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.