Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 15/08, 19:00
Prediction: KTP vs KaPa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
KTP2.42
KaPa1
1X2
KTP
Draw
KaPa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
KTP
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
KaPa
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KTP
6–0
KaPa
(6 last)
- KaPa1-2KTP
- KTP2-1KaPa
- KaPa1-2KTP
- KTP7-2KaPa
- KaPa1-5KTP
- KTP2-1KaPa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KTP (rating 1570 vs 1412).
- H2H favours KTP: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KTP | KaPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 8.3 | 2.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KTP 6–0–0 KaPa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 Finland Ykkosliiga | KaPa | 1-2 HT 1-1 | KTP |
| 09/05/26 Finland Ykkosliiga | KTP | 2-1 HT 0-0 | KaPa |
| 14/03/26 Finland Ykkoscup | KaPa | 1-2 HT 0-0 | KTP |
| 27/09/24 Finland Ykkosliiga | KTP | 7-2 HT 3-0 | KaPa |
| 27/07/24 Finland Ykkosliiga | KaPa | 1-5 HT 0-4 | KTP |
| 27/05/24 Finland Ykkosliiga | KTP | 2-1 HT 1-1 | KaPa |
Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PK-35 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | KTP | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | FC Haka | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 19 | 34 |
| 4 | Jippo | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | JaPS | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 28 |
| 6 | Ekenäs IF | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 23 |
| 7 | MP | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 21 |
| 8 | KaPa | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30 | 16 |
| 9 | Klubi-04 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | SJK II | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KTP | KaPa |
|---|---|---|
| Klubi-04 | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| SJK II | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| MP | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| PK-35 | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| JaPS | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Jippo | 3-3 D | 0-3 L |
| FC Haka | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Ekenäs IF | 5-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: KTP (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KTP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | MP Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 10/07 | JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/07 | Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga |
2-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga |
2-1 | 5-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 08/06 | FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 05/06 | KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 5 | W |
KaPa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | MP Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 17/07 | SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/07 | PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | KTP Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KTP vs KaPa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KTP win (68%). Probabilities: KTP 68%, draw 19%, KaPa 13%.
How many goals are expected in KTP vs KaPa?
The model expects 3.42 goals (KTP 2.42 · KaPa 1), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in KTP vs KaPa?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.