Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 20/08, 17:00

Prediction: KaPa vs Jippo

Team pages: KaPa · Jippo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

KaPa1.04

Jippo1.6

1X2

23% 27% 49%

KaPa Draw Jippo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

KaPa 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLDLLLLL

Jippo 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDWWDWLL

Head-to-head

KaPa 0–2–4 Jippo (6 last)

Jippo3-0KaPa
KaPa0-2Jippo
Jippo1-1KaPa
Jippo2-1KaPa
Jippo3-1KaPa
KaPa1-1Jippo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jippo (rating 1398 vs 1537).
H2H favours Jippo: 4-2-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KaPa	Jippo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.1	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	2.8 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:04

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.03 → 5.03	Pinn 5.03
X	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88
2	1.62 → 1.62	Pinn 1.62

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:59 +5’	5.03	3.88	1.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KaPa 0–2–4 Jippo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	Jippo	3-0 HT 2-0	KaPa
02/05/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	KaPa	0-2 HT 0-2	Jippo
07/03/26 Finland Ykkoscup	Jippo	1-1 HT 1-0	KaPa
04/10/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	Jippo	2-1 HT 2-1	KaPa
29/06/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	Jippo	3-1 HT 1-0	KaPa
04/05/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	KaPa	1-1 HT 1-0	Jippo

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KTP	19	13	3	3	33	20	42
2	PK-35	19	11	5	3	31	14	38
3	FC Haka	19	11	4	4	38	20	37
4	Jippo	19	8	7	4	24	16	31
5	JaPS	19	9	1	9	18	26	28
6	Ekenäs IF	18	7	2	9	24	30	23
7	MP	18	6	3	9	19	24	21
8	KaPa	19	4	4	11	20	32	16
9	Klubi-04	19	2	7	10	15	24	13
10	SJK II	19	2	6	11	9	25	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KaPa	Jippo
KTP	1-2 L	3-3 D
Ekenäs IF	0-1 L	1-1 D
MP	1-2 L	3-1 W
FC Haka	1-3 L	0-3 L
Klubi-04	0-2 L	2-0 W
SJK II	2-2 D	0-1 L
PK-35	1-3 L	1-1 D
JaPS	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Jippo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KaPa

LLWLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
08/08	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
29/07	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	1-2	1-2	5	5	L
25/07	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	1-2	1-3	3	4	L
21/07	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-2	10	6	L
17/07	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	2-2	8	2	D
10/07	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	1-3	4	1	L
28/06	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	3-1	7	5	W
13/06	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
05/06	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	1-2	4	5	L

Jippo

DWDDWWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	14	4	L
07/08	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	0-3	0-3	6	2	L
30/07	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
25/07	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
15/07	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	3-1	7	4	W
11/07	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
03/07	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	2-2	3-3	0	4	D
27/06	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
13/06	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
09/06	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KaPa vs Jippo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Jippo win (49%). Probabilities: KaPa 23%, draw 27%, Jippo 49%.

How many goals are expected in KaPa vs Jippo?

The model expects 2.65 goals (KaPa 1.04 · Jippo 1.6), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KaPa vs Jippo?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.