Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: KaPa vs Ekenäs IF
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
KaPa1.41
Ekenäs IF1.37
1X2
KaPa
Draw
Ekenäs IF
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
KaPa
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Ekenäs IF
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KaPa
0–2–4
Ekenäs IF
(6 last)
- Ekenäs IF1-0KaPa
- Ekenäs IF1-1KaPa
- Ekenäs IF4-1KaPa
- KaPa1-3Ekenäs IF
- Ekenäs IF4-2KaPa
- Ekenäs IF2-2KaPa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekenäs IF (rating 1426 vs 1475).
- H2H favours Ekenäs IF: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KaPa | Ekenäs IF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.6 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KaPa 0–2–4 Ekenäs IF
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Finland Ykkosliiga | Ekenäs IF | 1-0 HT 0-0 | KaPa |
| 06/02/26 Finland Ykkoscup | Ekenäs IF | 1-1 HT 1-0 | KaPa |
| 26/09/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | Ekenäs IF | 4-1 HT 2-1 | KaPa |
| 14/06/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | KaPa | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Ekenäs IF |
| 23/04/25 Finland Ykkosliiga | Ekenäs IF | 4-2 HT 1-1 | KaPa |
| 29/03/24 Europe Friendlies | Ekenäs IF | 2-2 HT 1-2 | KaPa |
Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTP | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | PK-35 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | FC Haka | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 31 |
| 4 | Jippo | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 31 |
| 5 | JaPS | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 25 |
| 6 | MP | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 21 |
| 7 | Ekenäs IF | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 20 |
| 8 | KaPa | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29 | 16 |
| 9 | Klubi-04 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 12 |
| 10 | SJK II | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | KaPa | Ekenäs IF |
|---|---|---|
| MP | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Haka | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Klubi-04 | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| SJK II | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| PK-35 | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| JaPS | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Jippo | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| KTP | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 6 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KaPa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | MP Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/07 | Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 17/07 | SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/07 | PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/06 | KTP Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
Ekenäs IF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/06 | KTP Finland Ykkosliiga |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | MP Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | MP Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KaPa vs Ekenäs IF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KaPa win (37%). Probabilities: KaPa 37%, draw 28%, Ekenäs IF 35%.
How many goals are expected in KaPa vs Ekenäs IF?
The model expects 2.77 goals (KaPa 1.41 · Ekenäs IF 1.37), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in KaPa vs Ekenäs IF?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.