Football · Argentina Nacional B · 22/08, 22:00
Prediction: Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
Team pages: Defensores de Belgrano · Almirante Brown
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
Defensores de Belgrano1.02
Almirante Brown0.74
1X2
Defensores de Belgrano
Draw
Almirante Brown
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Defensores de Belgrano
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Almirante Brown
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensores de Belgrano
4–1–1
Almirante Brown
(6 last)
- Almirante Brown0-2Defensores de Belgrano
- Almirante Brown1-2Defensores de Belgrano
- Defensores de Belgrano1-1Almirante Brown
- Defensores de Belgrano3-0Almirante Brown
- Almirante Brown0-2Defensores de Belgrano
- Defensores de Belgrano0-1Almirante Brown
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Defensores de Belgrano 1492 · Almirante Brown 1510
| Defensores de Belgrano | Draw | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Market | 41% | 34% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensores de Belgrano: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensores de Belgrano | Almirante Brown | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensores de Belgrano 4–1–1 Almirante Brown
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 21/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 06/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Almirante Brown |
| 23/09/24 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 04/05/24 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Defensores de Belgrano |
| 12/09/23 Argentina Nacional B | Defensores de Belgrano | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Almirante Brown |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 39 | 22 | 44 |
| 3 | Colon | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 16 | 38 |
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 37 |
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 22 | 37 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 35 |
| 8 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 34 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
| 10 | Racing de Cordoba | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 28 | 31 |
| 11 | Club Atletico Mitre | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 29 |
| 12 | CA San Miguel | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 29 |
| 13 | Defensores de Belgrano | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 26 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 24 | 24 |
| 15 | All Boys | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 24 |
| 16 | CA San Telmo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 27 | 23 |
| 17 | CA Chaco For Ever | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 29 | 22 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 29 | 22 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensores de Belgrano | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Mitre | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| All Boys | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Godoy Cruz | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Moron | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Almirante Brown (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensores de Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 13/06 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
Almirante Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensores de Belgrano win (40%). Probabilities: Defensores de Belgrano 40%, draw 35%, Almirante Brown 25%.
How many goals are expected in Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Defensores de Belgrano 1.02 · Almirante Brown 0.74), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensores de Belgrano vs Almirante Brown?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.