Football · Argentina Nacional B · 18/07, 22:00
Prediction: Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes Caseros
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.6Total
Almirante Brown0.85
CA Estudiantes Caseros0.75
1X2
Almirante Brown
Draw
CA Estudiantes Caseros
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Almirante Brown
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
CA Estudiantes Caseros
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Almirante Brown
4–2
CA Estudiantes Caseros
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Almirante Brown 1533 · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1522
| Almirante Brown | Draw | CA Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 38% | 28% |
| Market | 35% | 35% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.6 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Almirante Brown: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almirante Brown | CA Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almirante Brown 4–0–2 CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 22/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 15/02/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Almirante Brown |
| 13/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 24/07/21 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Almirante Brown |
| 13/03/21 Argentina Nacional B | Almirante Brown | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 40 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | Los Andes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Colon | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 32 |
| 5 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 30 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 30 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 25 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 21 |
| 13 | All Boys | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 21 |
| 14 | CA San Telmo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 19 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 19 |
| 17 | Club Atletico Mitre | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 18 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almirante Brown | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
|---|---|---|
| All Boys | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Los Andes | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Club Atletico Mitre | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Godoy Cruz | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Moron | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Colon | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CA San Miguel | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CA San Telmo | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 3 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Estudiantes Caseros (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almirante Brown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 05/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: Almirante Brown 35%, draw 36%, CA Estudiantes Caseros 29%.
How many goals are expected in Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
The model expects 1.6 goals (Almirante Brown 0.85 · CA Estudiantes Caseros 0.75), with a 51% chance of over 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Almirante Brown vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.