Football · Argentina Nacional B · 22/08, 22:00
Prediction: Almagro vs CA Colegiales
Team pages: Almagro · CA Colegiales
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.85Total
Almagro0.94
CA Colegiales0.91
1X2
Almagro
Draw
CA Colegiales
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Almagro
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CA Colegiales
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Almagro
1–1–4
CA Colegiales
(6 last)
- CA Colegiales1-0Almagro
- CA Colegiales2-0Almagro
- Almagro0-0CA Colegiales
- Almagro1-0CA Colegiales
- CA Colegiales3-2Almagro
- CA Colegiales2-0Almagro
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Almagro 1508 · CA Colegiales 1505
| Almagro | Draw | CA Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 35% | 32% |
| Market | 34% | 34% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CA Colegiales: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almagro | CA Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 2.2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almagro 1–1–4 CA Colegiales
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Colegiales | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Almagro |
| 09/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Colegiales | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
| 06/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Colegiales |
| 08/07/15 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Almagro | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Colegiales |
| 22/02/15 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Colegiales | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Almagro |
| 04/03/14 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Colegiales | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Almagro |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 29 | 44 |
| 2 | Tristan Suarez | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 23 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 40 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 25 | 39 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 38 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 38 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 27 | 35 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 35 |
| 9 | Quilmes | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 21 | 32 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 32 |
| 11 | CA Colegiales | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 30 |
| 12 | Almagro | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 30 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 29 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 22 | 29 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 29 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 26 | 26 |
| 17 | Patronato Parana | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 24 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 40 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almagro | CA Colegiales |
|---|---|---|
| Quilmes | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| CA Atlanta | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Atletico Rafaela | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Agropecuario | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almagro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 05/08 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 28/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
CA Colegiales
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almagro vs CA Colegiales?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (35%). Probabilities: Almagro 33%, draw 35%, CA Colegiales 32%.
How many goals are expected in Almagro vs CA Colegiales?
The model expects 1.85 goals (Almagro 0.94 · CA Colegiales 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Almagro vs CA Colegiales?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.