Football · Argentina Nacional B · 22/08, 22:00

Prediction: Patronato Parana vs Gimnasia Jujuy

Team pages: Patronato Parana · Gimnasia Jujuy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Patronato Parana1.19

Gimnasia Jujuy1.15

1X2

35% 31% 34%

Patronato Parana Draw Gimnasia Jujuy

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Patronato Parana 0-7-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDLDLDDL

Gimnasia Jujuy 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWLLLW

Head-to-head

Patronato Parana 2–2–1 Gimnasia Jujuy (5 last)

Gimnasia Jujuy2-0Patronato Parana
Patronato Parana1-0Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Jujuy1-1Patronato Parana
Patronato Parana2-0Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Jujuy1-1Patronato Parana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Patronato Parana 1446 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1523

	Patronato Parana	Draw	Gimnasia Jujuy
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	35%	32%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia Jujuy (rating 1446 vs 1523).
H2H favours Patronato Parana: 2-2-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Patronato Parana	Gimnasia Jujuy
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.3	3.5 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.63

X2.88

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:40 +8’	2.63	2.88	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Patronato Parana 2–2–1 Gimnasia Jujuy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	2-0 HT 1-0	Patronato Parana
11/08/24 Argentina Nacional B	Patronato Parana	1-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia Jujuy
24/03/24 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	1-1 HT 0-1	Patronato Parana
13/07/15 Argentina Nacional B	Patronato Parana	2-0 HT 0-0	Gimnasia Jujuy
01/03/15 Argentina Nacional B	Gimnasia Jujuy	1-1 HT 1-0	Patronato Parana

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gimnasia Jujuy	25	13	5	7	36	29	44
2	Tristan Suarez	23	11	9	3	23	12	42
3	Club Atletico Temperley	25	10	10	5	27	21	40
4	CA Atlanta	24	12	3	9	30	25	39
5	Ferrocarril Midland	24	10	8	6	26	17	38
6	Gimnasia y Tiro	25	10	8	7	26	22	38
7	Deportivo Maipu	25	10	5	10	33	27	35
8	Atletico Rafaela	25	9	8	8	18	19	35
9	Quilmes	25	8	8	9	27	21	32
10	San Martin de Tucuman	25	7	11	7	24	22	32
11	CA Colegiales	24	8	6	10	23	25	30
12	Almagro	25	8	6	11	21	29	30
13	San Martin SJ	23	7	8	8	23	23	29
14	Nueva Chicago	23	7	8	8	20	22	29
15	Agropecuario	25	7	8	10	22	28	29
16	Chacarita Juniors	24	7	5	12	18	26	26
17	Patronato Parana	24	4	12	8	18	26	24
18	CA Guemes	23	5	5	13	20	40	20

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Patronato Parana	Gimnasia Jujuy
CA Colegiales	2-2 D	1-2 L
Quilmes	3-3 D	0-2 L
Ferrocarril Midland	0-1 L	1-1 D
Tristan Suarez	1-1 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Patronato Parana (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Patronato Parana

DDDDLDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Colon Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
09/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-2	7	3	D
01/08	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	3-1	3-3	5	8	D
26/07	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
12/07	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
05/07	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	10	8	L
21/06	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-1	6	9	D
14/06	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
07/06	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
31/05	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	6	2	D

Gimnasia Jujuy

WWWDDWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
10/08	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-2	11	1	L
06/08	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
01/08	CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-2	4	5	L
26/07	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-1	9	2	W
12/07	Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-1	11	3	D
05/07	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
21/06	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	2-1	3-1	2	0	W
17/06	Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B	2-0	4-0	5	4	W
14/06	San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Patronato Parana vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Patronato Parana win (35%). Probabilities: Patronato Parana 35%, draw 31%, Gimnasia Jujuy 34%.

How many goals are expected in Patronato Parana vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Patronato Parana 1.19 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Patronato Parana vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.