Football · Sweden Superettan · 29/08, 13:00

Prediction: Ljungskile vs IFK Varnamo

Team pages: Ljungskile · IFK Varnamo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Ljungskile1.86

IFK Varnamo1.08

1X2

55% 25% 21%

Ljungskile Draw IFK Varnamo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Ljungskile 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLLDD

IFK Varnamo 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDLLLL

Head-to-head

Ljungskile 4–2 IFK Varnamo (6 last)

Ljungskile3-0IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo0-2Ljungskile
Ljungskile2-0IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo0-2Ljungskile
Ljungskile0-2IFK Varnamo
IFK Varnamo2-1Ljungskile

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ljungskile (rating 1481 vs 1418).
H2H favours Ljungskile: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ljungskile	IFK Varnamo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.3	2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:17

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.09 → 2.11▲	Pinn 2.11
X	3.61 → 3.64▲	Pinn 3.64
2	3.15 → 3.19▲	Pinn 3.19

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:27	2.09	3.61	3.15
20:16	2.11▲	3.64▲	3.19▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ljungskile 4–0–2 IFK Varnamo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/09/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Ljungskile	3-0 HT 1-0	IFK Varnamo
02/06/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	IFK Varnamo	0-2 HT 0-1	Ljungskile
02/10/16 Sweden Superettan	Ljungskile	2-0 HT 1-0	IFK Varnamo
10/04/16 Sweden Superettan	IFK Varnamo	0-2 HT 0-0	Ljungskile
04/10/15 Sweden Superettan	Ljungskile	0-2 HT 0-2	IFK Varnamo
07/04/15 Sweden Superettan	IFK Varnamo	2-1 HT 0-0	Ljungskile

Standings · Sweden Superettan

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Varbergs BoIS FC	12	7	3	2	24	13	24
2	IFK Norrkoping	12	7	2	3	21	9	23
3	Falkenbergs FF	12	6	4	2	21	17	22
4	Nordic United FC	12	6	2	4	20	19	20
5	Osters IF	12	6	2	4	19	18	20
6	Landskrona BoIS	12	5	4	3	18	12	19
7	Ostersunds FK	12	5	4	3	20	17	19
8	IK Oddevold	12	5	3	4	23	19	18
9	Helsingborg	12	5	2	5	19	23	17
10	Sandvikens IF	12	4	3	5	19	17	15
11	IK Brage	12	3	4	5	19	21	13
12	Orebro SK	12	3	4	5	10	16	13
13	Ljungskile	12	3	3	6	15	16	12
14	Norrby IF	12	1	7	4	15	20	10
15	IFK Varnamo	12	3	1	8	14	25	10
16	GIF Sundsvall	12	3	0	9	9	24	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ljungskile	IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK	1-1 D	2-3 L
Varbergs BoIS FC	1-3 L	2-3 L
Norrby IF	1-2 L	2-2 D
Osters IF	4-1 W	0-3 L
Sandvikens IF	0-1 L	1-0 W
Nordic United FC	0-2 L	0-2 L
Helsingborg	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ljungskile

LWLLWWLLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/06	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
09/06	IK Brage Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-2	7	7	D
30/05	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-3	1	6	L
23/05	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-2	5	2	L
17/05	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	1-0	4-1	7	1	W
14/05	GIF Sundsvall Sweden Superettan	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
09/05	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
02/05	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-2	7	4	L
24/04	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-1	4-1	7	5	W
18/04	Landskrona BoIS Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	6	6	L

IFK Varnamo

WWLLLDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/06	Helsingborg Sweden Superettan	0-1	0-1	10	4	L
09/06	Osters IF Sweden Superettan	0-3	0-3	5	2	L
31/05	Nordic United FC Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
23/05	Falkenbergs FF Sweden Superettan	0-2	1-3	2	2	L
17/05	Norrby IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	2-2	6	5	D
12/05	Orebro SK Sweden Superettan	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
08/05	Varbergs BoIS FC Sweden Superettan	0-1	2-3	1	7	L
03/05	Ostersunds FK Sweden Superettan	0-3	2-3	3	4	L
26/04	IK Oddevold Sweden Superettan	1-1	3-1	2	3	W
18/04	Sandvikens IF Sweden Superettan	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ljungskile vs IFK Varnamo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ljungskile win (55%). Probabilities: Ljungskile 55%, draw 25%, IFK Varnamo 21%.

How many goals are expected in Ljungskile vs IFK Varnamo?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Ljungskile 1.86 · IFK Varnamo 1.08), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Ljungskile vs IFK Varnamo?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.