Football · Argentina Nacional B · 25/07, 20:00
Prediction: CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.95Total
CA Estudiantes Caseros1.26
Club Ciudad de Bolivar0.68
1X2
CA Estudiantes Caseros
Draw
Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Estudiantes Caseros
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Club Ciudad de Bolivar
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Estudiantes Caseros
1–0
Club Ciudad de Bolivar
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1537 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 1503
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Draw | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 32% | 19% |
| Market | 50% | 31% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.95 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1–0–0 Club Ciudad de Bolivar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/26 Argentina Nacional B | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 1-2 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 43 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 35 |
| 3 | Colon | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 35 |
| 4 | Los Andes | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 32 |
| 5 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 31 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 31 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 31 |
| 8 | Deportivo Madryn | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 25 |
| 11 | Racing de Cordoba | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25 | 24 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 23 |
| 13 | All Boys | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 22 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Mitre | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 27 | 21 |
| 15 | CA San Telmo | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 20 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 19 |
| 17 | Central Norte | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 19 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Estudiantes Caseros | Club Ciudad de Bolivar |
|---|---|---|
| All Boys | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Los Andes | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Godoy Cruz | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Deportivo Moron | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Colon | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| CA San Miguel | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/07 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 05/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Club Ciudad de Bolivar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/07 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Estudiantes Caseros win (50%). Probabilities: CA Estudiantes Caseros 50%, draw 31%, Club Ciudad de Bolivar 19%.
How many goals are expected in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?
The model expects 1.95 goals (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.26 · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 0.68), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Club Ciudad de Bolivar?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.