Football · Norway Division 1 · 16/08, 17:00
Prediction: Egersund vs Stabaek
Team pages: Egersund · Stabaek
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.47Total
Egersund1.7
Stabaek1.77
1X2
Egersund
Draw
Stabaek
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Egersund
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Stabaek
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Egersund
3–2–1
Stabaek
(6 last)
- Stabaek3-1Egersund
- Stabaek1-1Egersund
- Egersund1-1Stabaek
- Stabaek1-3Egersund
- Egersund2-1Stabaek
- Stabaek4-5Egersund
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stabaek (rating 1515 vs 1580).
- H2H favours Egersund: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 14.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Egersund | Stabaek | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2 | 2.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.6 | 3.1 / 8.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Egersund 3–2–1 Stabaek
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Norway Division 1 | Stabaek | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Egersund |
| 13/03/26 Europe Friendlies | Stabaek | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Egersund |
| 13/09/25 Norway Division 1 | Egersund | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Stabaek |
| 18/06/25 Norway Division 1 | Stabaek | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Egersund |
| 25/09/24 Norway Division 1 | Egersund | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Stabaek |
| 27/05/24 Norway Division 1 | Stabaek | 4-5 HT 3-0 | Egersund |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haugesund | 17 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 55 | 33 | 37 |
| 2 | Stabaek | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Kongsvinger | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 45 | 26 | 36 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 44 | 25 | 32 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 28 |
| 6 | Hodd | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
| 7 | Egersund | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 26 |
| 8 | Ranheim | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 43 | 42 | 23 |
| 9 | Bryne | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 23 |
| 10 | Sandnes Ulf | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | 20 |
| 11 | Sogndal | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 43 | 18 |
| 12 | Moss | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 36 | 17 |
| 13 | Lyn 1896 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 37 | 17 |
| 14 | Raufoss | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 41 | 16 |
| 15 | Strommen | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 15 |
| 16 | Asane | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 39 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Egersund | Stabaek |
|---|---|---|
| Moss | 3-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Sogndal | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Hodd | 1-3 L | 6-0 W |
| Lyn 1896 | 0-0 D | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Stabaek (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Egersund
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Haugesund Norway Division 1 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Stabaek Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 25/05 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
Stabaek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 27/07 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 16 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Egersund vs Stabaek?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Stabaek win (39%). Probabilities: Egersund 37%, draw 24%, Stabaek 39%.
How many goals are expected in Egersund vs Stabaek?
The model expects 3.47 goals (Egersund 1.7 · Stabaek 1.77), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Egersund vs Stabaek?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.