Football · Norway Division 1 · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Stabaek vs Lyn 1896
Team pages: Stabaek · Lyn 1896
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Stabaek2.35
Lyn 18961.34
1X2
Stabaek
Draw
Lyn 1896
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stabaek
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Lyn 1896
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stabaek
3–1–2
Lyn 1896
(6 last)
- Lyn 18960-4Stabaek
- Stabaek1-5Lyn 1896
- Stabaek2-0Lyn 1896
- Lyn 18960-1Stabaek
- Lyn 18967-1Stabaek
- Stabaek2-2Lyn 1896
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stabaek (rating 1563 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Stabaek: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stabaek | Lyn 1896 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1 | 1.4 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 8.6 | 2.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stabaek 3–1–2 Lyn 1896
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Norway Division 1 | Lyn 1896 | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Stabaek |
| 02/11/25 Norway Division 1 | Stabaek | 1-5 HT 0-2 | Lyn 1896 |
| 19/07/25 Club Friendly List | Stabaek | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Lyn 1896 |
| 06/04/25 Norway Division 1 | Lyn 1896 | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stabaek |
| 04/08/24 Norway Division 1 | Lyn 1896 | 7-1 HT 4-0 | Stabaek |
| 16/05/24 Norway Division 1 | Stabaek | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Lyn 1896 |
Standings · Norway Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kongsvinger | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 22 | 33 |
| 2 | Stromsgodset | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 44 | 23 | 32 |
| 3 | Haugesund | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 44 | 28 | 31 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 16 | 30 |
| 5 | Odd BK | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Hodd | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | 21 |
| 7 | Ranheim | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 37 | 20 |
| 8 | Egersund | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 20 |
| 9 | Sandnes Ulf | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 26 | 20 |
| 10 | Bryne | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 20 |
| 11 | Sogndal | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 18 |
| 12 | Moss | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 17 |
| 13 | Raufoss | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 32 | 16 |
| 14 | Lyn 1896 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 31 | 14 |
| 15 | Asane | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 13 |
| 16 | Strommen | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 36 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stabaek | Lyn 1896 |
|---|---|---|
| Hodd | 6-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Ranheim | 5-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Bryne | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Strommen | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Egersund | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Kongsvinger | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Sogndal | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Stabaek (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stabaek
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 27/07 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 5-2 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Moss Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 16 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Raufoss Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | L |
Lyn 1896
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Sogndal Norway Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Stromsgodset Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | Asane Norway Division 1 |
5-0 | 6-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Hodd Norway Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 19/06 | Ranheim Norway Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Bryne Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Odd BK Norway Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Strommen Norway Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Egersund Norway Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Kongsvinger Norway Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stabaek vs Lyn 1896?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stabaek win (59%). Probabilities: Stabaek 59%, draw 21%, Lyn 1896 20%.
How many goals are expected in Stabaek vs Lyn 1896?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Stabaek 2.35 · Lyn 1896 1.34), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Stabaek vs Lyn 1896?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.