Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Viking FK (W) vs Bryne (W)

Team pages: Viking FK (W) · Bryne (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

Viking FK (W)2.95

Bryne (W)1.12

1X2

74% 15% 11%

Viking FK (W) Draw Bryne (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Viking FK (W) 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWDWWW

Bryne (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Viking FK (W) 2–0 Bryne (W) (2 last)

Bryne (W)0-4Viking FK (W)
Viking FK (W)2-0Bryne (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Viking FK (W) 1612 · Bryne (W) 1468

	Viking FK (W)	Draw	Bryne (W)
Our model	74%	15%	11%
Market	74%	15%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viking FK (W) (rating 1612 vs 1468).
H2H favours Viking FK (W): 2-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Viking FK (W)	Bryne (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.8	1.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.4	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.9	2.2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.6 / 0	1.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.22

X6.25

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.95

2 (+2)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.22▲	Bet365 1.22
X	7.00 → 6.25▼	Pinn 6.67
2	10.00 → 8.00▼	Pinn 10.36 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.3% Pinnacle margin 9.4%

Time*	1	X	2
14:57 +23’	1.17	7.00	10.00
18:19 +5’	1.22▲	6.25▼	8.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:33 +111’	1.17	6.46	9.87
12:04 +2’	1.18▲	6.67▲	10.36▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Viking FK (W) 2–0–0 Bryne (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Bryne (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Viking FK (W)
12/06/24 Norway Cup Women	Viking FK (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Bryne (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	19	15	3	1	46	18	48
2	Viking FK (W)	20	14	3	3	58	19	45
3	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	20	14	2	4	65	19	44
4	Asane (W)	19	12	6	1	34	13	42
5	TIL 2020 Women	19	9	3	7	39	21	30
6	Odd BK (W)	20	6	5	9	27	32	23
7	Bryne (W)	20	7	2	11	25	34	23
8	Grei (W)	20	7	2	11	35	48	23
9	Kolbotn Women	18	5	3	10	26	36	18
10	Fyllingsdalen (W)	19	6	0	13	27	48	18
11	Frigg (W)	19	3	1	15	11	50	10
12	Klepp (W)	19	3	0	16	20	75	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Viking FK (W)	Bryne (W)
Frigg (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Fyllingsdalen (W)	6-0 W	0-1 L
Klepp (W)	5-0 W	6-2 W
TIL 2020 Women	1-0 W	1-4 L
Kolbotn Women	6-0 W	1-0 W
Odd BK (W)	3-0 W	0-4 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Viking FK (W) (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Viking FK (W)

WWWLLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/09	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	6-0	6-0	4	1	W
13/09	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	5-0	4	3	W
04/09	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
31/08	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
22/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	2-5	5	3	L
15/08	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
09/08	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	6-0	13	0	W
01/08	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	6	0	W
21/06	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	3-1	5	3	W

Bryne (W)

LLLLLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
26/09	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-2	6-2	7	1	W
19/09	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
13/09	Grei (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	5-0	7	3	W
30/08	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
15/08	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
08/08	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	2-6	–	–	L
01/08	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	1-4	–	–	L
27/06	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
21/06	Arna-Bjørnar (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	0-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Viking FK (W) vs Bryne (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Viking FK (W) win (74%). Probabilities: Viking FK (W) 74%, draw 15%, Bryne (W) 11%.

How many goals are expected in Viking FK (W) vs Bryne (W)?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Viking FK (W) 2.95 · Bryne (W) 1.12), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Viking FK (W) vs Bryne (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.