Football · Norway Division 1 Women · 03/10, 11:30

Prediction: Arna-Bjørnar (W) vs Grei (W)

Team pages: Arna-Bjørnar (W) · Grei (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.2Total

Arna-Bjørnar (W)2.63

Grei (W)1.57

1X2

60% 19% 21%

Arna-Bjørnar (W) Draw Grei (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Arna-Bjørnar (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWLWW

Grei (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWLDWW

Head-to-head

Arna-Bjørnar (W) 1–0 Grei (W) (1 last)

Grei (W)2-4Arna-Bjørnar (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arna-Bjørnar (W) (rating 1612 vs 1507).
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	Grei (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 0.9	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 8.8	0.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.3 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.81

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Pinn 1.28
X	5.26 → 5.26	Pinn 5.26
2	7.05 → 7.05	Pinn 7.05

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:43 +89’	1.28	5.26	7.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Arna-Bjørnar (W) 1–0–0 Grei (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Norway Division 1 Women	Grei (W)	2-4 HT 1-2	Arna-Bjørnar (W)

Standings · Norway Division 1 Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IK Start (W)	19	15	3	1	46	18	48
2	Viking FK (W)	19	13	3	3	56	18	42
3	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	19	13	2	4	55	19	41
4	Asane (W)	18	11	6	1	30	11	39
5	TIL 2020 Women	19	9	3	7	39	21	30
6	Grei (W)	19	7	2	10	35	38	23
7	Odd BK (W)	19	6	5	8	25	28	23
8	Bryne (W)	19	7	2	10	24	32	23
9	Kolbotn Women	18	5	3	10	26	36	18
10	Fyllingsdalen (W)	19	6	0	13	27	48	18
11	Frigg (W)	19	3	1	15	11	50	10
12	Klepp (W)	19	3	0	16	20	75	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Arna-Bjørnar (W)	Grei (W)
TIL 2020 Women	3-2 W	3-2 W
Fyllingsdalen (W)	2-4 L	1-0 W
Asane (W)	2-0 W	1-1 D
Odd BK (W)	3-0 W	0-1 L
IK Start (W)	3-0 W	1-3 L
Bryne (W)	6-2 W	0-5 L
Klepp (W)	6-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Arna-Bjørnar (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arna-Bjørnar (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Frigg (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	5-0	19	2	W
27/09	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
13/09	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-3	2-4	6	1	L
30/08	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/08	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
16/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
08/08	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	6-2	–	–	W
02/08	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	5-0	6-0	–	–	W
28/06	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
21/06	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	3-0	3-0	–	–	W

Grei (W)

LWLLWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Fyllingsdalen (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	1-0	8	1	W
20/09	TIL 2020 Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
16/09	Asane (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/09	Bryne (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-1	0-5	6	3	L
30/08	Klepp (W) Norway Division 1 Women	2-0	4-0	9	1	W
16/08	Kolbotn (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
09/08	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
02/08	IK Start (W) Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	1-3	1	1	L
28/06	Kolbotn Women Norway Division 1 Women	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
21/06	Odd BK (W) Norway Division 1 Women	0-3	1-3	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arna-Bjørnar (W) vs Grei (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arna-Bjørnar (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Arna-Bjørnar (W) 60%, draw 19%, Grei (W) 21%.

How many goals are expected in Arna-Bjørnar (W) vs Grei (W)?

The model expects 4.2 goals (Arna-Bjørnar (W) 2.63 · Grei (W) 1.57), with a 56% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Arna-Bjørnar (W) vs Grei (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.