Football · Norway Division 1 · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: Haugesund vs Raufoss

Team pages: Haugesund · Raufoss

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.3Total
Haugesund3.02
Raufoss1.28
1X2
71% 16% 12%
Haugesund Draw Raufoss
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Haugesund 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWLWWL
Raufoss 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
WWLLLWLWWL
Head-to-head
Haugesund 1–0 Raufoss (1 last)
  • Raufoss3-4Haugesund
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Haugesund 1541 · Raufoss 1494
HaugesundDrawRaufoss
Our model72%16%13%
Market71%17%12%
Estimated total (ours) 4.3 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haugesund (rating 1541 vs 1494).
  • High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HaugesundRaufoss
Goals for / against (FT)3 / 2.11.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 0.90.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/20/20%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 6.42.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.12.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Haugesund 100 Raufoss

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/05/26
Norway Division 1
Raufoss3-4
HT 0-4
Haugesund

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Stabaek 161033 401633
2 Kongsvinger 161033 432533
3 Stromsgodset 16952 442332
4 Haugesund 151014 442831
5 Odd BK 16844 312028
6 Hodd 16736 242624
7 Egersund 16727 292823
8 Ranheim 15627 363720
9 Sandnes Ulf 16628 232820
10 Bryne 16628 212620
11 Sogndal 16538 304118
12 Moss 16529 253617
13 Lyn 1896 16529 213317
14 Raufoss 165110 193416
15 Strommen 16439 213715
16 Asane 164210 243713

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHaugesundRaufoss
Bryne 1-2 L 3-0 W
Moss 3-1 W 2-1 W
Strommen 7-0 W 1-0 W
Asane 1-1 D 0-3 L
Sogndal 1-5 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Haugesund (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Haugesund

LDWWWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Bryne
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-2 73 L
05/07 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-1 55 W
27/06 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
3-2 4-2 104 W
21/06 Egersund
Norway Division 1
1-3 2-5 35 L
14/06 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-1 4-1 53 W
31/05 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
4-0 4-3 73 W
25/05 Moss
Norway Division 1
0-0 3-1 92 W
20/05 Strommen
Norway Division 1
3-0 7-0 31 W
16/05 Asane
Norway Division 1
1-1 1-1 85 D
10/05 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
0-2 1-5 72 L

Raufoss

WWLLLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-2 41 L
26/07 Moss
Norway Division 1
1-1 2-1 53 W
03/07 Strommen
Norway Division 1
0-0 1-0 64 W
27/06 Sandnes Ulf
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-3 33 L
21/06 Sogndal
Norway Division 1
2-1 3-1 62 W
14/06 Stromsgodset
Norway Division 1
1-2 1-6 21 L
31/05 Haugesund
Norway Division 1
0-4 3-4 43 L
25/05 Asane
Norway Division 1
0-0 0-3 51 L
20/05 Bryne
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-0 73 W
16/05 Stabaek
Norway Division 1
2-0 2-1 32 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Haugesund vs Raufoss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Haugesund win (71%). Probabilities: Haugesund 71%, draw 16%, Raufoss 12%.

How many goals are expected in Haugesund vs Raufoss?

The model expects 4.3 goals (Haugesund 3.02 · Raufoss 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Haugesund vs Raufoss?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.