Football · Norway Division 1 · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Bryne vs Moss

Team pages: Bryne · Moss

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Bryne1.95

Moss1.17

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Bryne Draw Moss

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bryne 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLDWLW

Moss 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDLDWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Bryne 3–3 Moss (6 last)

Moss2-3Bryne
Bryne3-0Moss
Moss1-0Bryne
Bryne3-1Moss
Moss2-1Bryne
Bryne0-1Moss

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bryne 1533 · Moss 1426

	Bryne	Draw	Moss
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bryne (rating 1533 vs 1426).
High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bryne	Moss
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	1.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	1 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.6	2.8 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +9’	1.67	3.80	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bryne 3–0–3 Moss

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Norway Division 1	Moss	2-3 HT 0-3	Bryne
28/09/24 Norway Division 1	Bryne	3-0 HT 2-0	Moss
16/06/24 Norway Division 1	Moss	1-0 HT 0-0	Bryne
23/08/23 Norway Division 1	Bryne	3-1 HT 0-0	Moss
09/07/23 Norway Division 1	Moss	2-1 HT 0-1	Bryne
22/09/19 Norway Division 2 Group 1	Bryne	0-1 HT 0-1	Moss

Standings · Norway Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haugesund	17	12	1	4	55	33	37
2	Stabaek	17	11	3	3	44	19	36
3	Kongsvinger	17	11	3	3	45	26	36
4	Stromsgodset	17	9	5	3	44	25	32
5	Odd BK	16	8	4	4	31	20	28
6	Hodd	17	8	3	6	28	29	27
7	Egersund	17	8	2	7	31	28	26
8	Ranheim	17	7	2	8	43	42	23
9	Bryne	17	7	2	8	23	26	23
10	Sandnes Ulf	17	6	2	9	26	32	20
11	Sogndal	17	5	3	9	30	43	18
12	Moss	16	5	2	9	25	36	17
13	Lyn 1896	17	5	2	10	24	37	17
14	Raufoss	17	5	1	11	21	41	16
15	Strommen	17	4	3	10	22	41	15
16	Asane	17	4	2	11	25	39	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bryne	Moss
Sogndal	2-0 W	4-2 W
Stromsgodset	0-2 L	1-1 D
Haugesund	2-1 W	1-3 L
Sandnes Ulf	1-1 D	1-4 L
Stabaek	0-2 L	2-2 D
Hodd	1-0 W	1-2 L
Raufoss	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bryne

LLWWWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Sogndal Norway Division 1	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
01/08	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	0-2	6	1	L
25/07	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
04/07	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
27/06	Stabaek Norway Division 1	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
21/06	Asane Norway Division 1	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
14/06	Lyn 1896 Norway Division 1	0-0	3-0	7	4	W
31/05	Hodd Norway Division 1	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
25/05	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
20/05	Raufoss Norway Division 1	0-1	0-3	4	3	L

Moss

WDLDWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Hodd Norway Division 1	1-2	1-2	8	6	L
26/07	Raufoss Norway Division 1	1-1	1-2	12	3	L
04/07	Egersund Norway Division 1	0-2	0-3	0	2	L
27/06	Strommen Norway Division 1	1-2	2-3	4	5	L
21/06	Sandnes Ulf Norway Division 1	0-1	1-4	7	5	L
14/06	Sogndal Norway Division 1	3-2	4-2	7	3	W
30/05	Stabaek Norway Division 1	2-1	2-2	7	5	D
25/05	Haugesund Norway Division 1	0-0	1-3	11	2	L
20/05	Stromsgodset Norway Division 1	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
16/05	Odd BK Norway Division 1	1-2	3-2	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bryne vs Moss?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bryne win (54%). Probabilities: Bryne 54%, draw 24%, Moss 22%.

How many goals are expected in Bryne vs Moss?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Bryne 1.95 · Moss 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bryne vs Moss?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.