Football · Sweden Damallsvenskan · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: Malmo FF (W) vs Hammarby (W)

Team pages: Malmo FF (W) · Hammarby (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Malmo FF (W)1.12
Hammarby (W)1.41
1X2
29% 28% 43%
Malmo FF (W) Draw Hammarby (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Malmo FF (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDWWDLDWLW
Hammarby (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDLWWWDW
Head-to-head
Malmo FF (W) 0–1–2 Hammarby (W) (3 last)
  • Hammarby (W)2-1Malmo FF (W)
  • Hammarby (W)2-1Malmo FF (W)
  • Malmo FF (W)1-1Hammarby (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malmo FF (W) 1531 · Hammarby (W) 1598
Malmo FF (W)DrawHammarby (W)
Our model28%29%43%
Market30%27%44%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hammarby (W) (rating 1531 vs 1598).
  • H2H favours Hammarby (W): 2-1-0.
  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Malmo FF (W)Hammarby (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.52.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.21.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.43 / 7.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.8 / 01.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Malmo FF (W) 012 Hammarby (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/05/26
Sweden Damallsvenskan
Hammarby (W)2-1
HT 1-0
Malmo FF (W)
06/09/25
Sweden Damallsvenskan
Hammarby (W)2-1
HT 2-0
Malmo FF (W)
26/04/25
Sweden Damallsvenskan
Malmo FF (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Hammarby (W)

Standings · Sweden Damallsvenskan

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 BK Hacken (W) 141301 421139
2 Hammarby (W) 141211 36637
3 Malmo FF (W) 14743 28925
4 AIK (W) 14734 212024
5 Eskilstuna Utd (W) 14725 111623
6 Kristianstads (W) 14635 262421
7 Vittsjö GIK (W) 14635 151521
8 Pitea IF (W) 14437 132315
9 Brommapojkarna (W) 14509 173015
10 Vaxjo (W) 14428 202614
11 Djurgardens (W) 14428 182414
12 IFK Norrkoping (W) 14266 142212
13 FC Rosengård (W) 14248 162110
14 IK Uppsala (W) 141310 12426

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMalmo FF (W)Hammarby (W)
Pitea IF (W) 0-0 D 5-0 W
Vittsjö GIK (W) 0-1 L 2-1 W
Vaxjo (W) 3-0 W 5-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby (W) (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malmo FF (W)

WDWWDLDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 IK Uppsala (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
5-0 6-0 60 W
08/08 Eintracht Frankfurt (W)
UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying
0-1 0-2 30 L
05/08 Valerenga (W)
UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying
1-0 1-0 42 W
31/07 Pitea IF (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-0 0-0 62 D
27/07 Vittsjö GIK (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-1 0-1 93 L
18/07 Brondby (W)
Women’s Friendly
0-0 1-1 D
27/06 Kristianstads (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
3-0 6-0 21 W
17/06 Djurgardens (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
1-0 1-0 53 W
13/06 Eskilstuna Utd (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-0 1-1 104 D
31/05 Vaxjo (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
2-0 3-0 41 W

Hammarby (W)

WLWDLWWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Pitea IF (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
4-0 5-0 70 W
08/08 Juventus (W)
UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying
1-1 1-1 64 D
05/08 Apolonia Fier (W)
UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying
2-0 4-0 114 W
31/07 Vaxjo (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
3-0 5-0 140 W
25/07 IFK Norrkoping (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
3-0 4-0 81 W
14/07 FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Women’s Friendly
0-3 1-3 L
25/06 Pitea IF (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-1 1-1 50 D
17/06 AIK (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
3-0 4-1 21 W
13/06 BK Hacken (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
0-1 0-1 52 L
31/05 Vittsjö GIK (W)
Sweden Damallsvenskan
1-1 2-1 60 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malmo FF (W) vs Hammarby (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hammarby (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Malmo FF (W) 29%, draw 28%, Hammarby (W) 43%.

How many goals are expected in Malmo FF (W) vs Hammarby (W)?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Malmo FF (W) 1.12 · Hammarby (W) 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Malmo FF (W) vs Hammarby (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.