Basketball · Turkiye BSL · 14/11, 13:30

Prediction: Tofas vs Trabzonspor

Team pages: Tofas · Trabzonspor

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168Total

Tofas87.1

Trabzonspor80.9

1X2

67% 33%

Tofas Trabzonspor

Recent form · 10 last

Tofas 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLLW

Trabzonspor 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWLWL

Head-to-head

Tofas 2–4 Trabzonspor (6 last)

Tofas71-91Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor92-87Tofas
Tofas90-80Trabzonspor
Tofas103-63Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor91-83Tofas
Tofas79-89Trabzonspor

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tofas 1530 · Trabzonspor 1496

	Tofas	Trabzonspor
Our model	67%	33%
Market	68%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 168 points · Bet365 line 171.5 · -3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168Tofas 87.1 · Trabzonspor 80.9

Match keys

Tofas is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Trabzonspor: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tofas	Trabzonspor
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80.5 / 82.2	81.4 / 84.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.4 / 81	83.6 / 83.4
Est. result	87	81

Est. total168

Line O/U171.5

Diff.3.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.37

22.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-7.5)1.80

2 (+7.5)1.87

Line ⓘ

Over 171.51.83

Under 171.51.83

Diff.: 7.05 · Est. total: 164.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37
2	2.85 → 2.85	Pinn 3.38 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 11.6%

Time*	1	2
10:38 +9’	1.37	2.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
14:48 +1’	1.57	2.18
22:38 +11’	1.30▼	2.93▲
10:35 +12’	1.18▼	3.73▲
11:36 +11’	1.21▲	3.43▼
12:34 +13’	1.22▲	3.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tofas 2–0–4 Trabzonspor

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Turkiye BSL	Tofas	71-91	Trabzonspor
05/12/25 Turkiye BSL	Trabzonspor	92-87	Tofas
18/09/25 Club Friendlies	Tofas	90-80	Trabzonspor
10/05/18 Turkiye BSL	Tofas	103-63	Trabzonspor
06/01/18 Turkiye BSL	Trabzonspor	91-83	Tofas
25/03/17 Turkiye BSL	Tofas	79-89	Trabzonspor

Standings · Turkiye BSL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Turk Telekom	7	6	1	585	512	13
2	Bahcesehir Koleji	7	6	1	649	606	13
3	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	608	557	12
4	Anadolu Efes	7	5	2	602	556	12
5	Galatasaray	7	4	3	620	556	11
6	Aliaga Petkim Gelisim	7	4	3	586	585	11
7	Trabzonspor	7	4	3	581	583	11
8	Pinar Karsiyaka	7	4	3	569	578	11
9	Esenler Erokspor	7	4	3	580	593	11
10	Besiktas	7	3	4	589	604	10
11	Tofas	7	3	4	569	595	10
12	Korfez Basket	7	2	5	574	601	9
13	Bordo Basketbol	7	2	5	576	609	9
14	Cayirova	7	2	5	573	616	9
15	Merkezefendi Denizli	7	1	6	564	613	8
16	Bursaspor	7	1	6	524	585	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tofas	Trabzonspor
Aliaga Petkim Gelisim	72-74 L	81-91 L
Korfez Basket	71-69 W	89-83 W
Esenler Erokspor	79-87 L	90-93 L
Merkezefendi Denizli	87-101 L	75-70 W
Bordo Basketbol	90-89 W	83-80 W
Bahcesehir Koleji	76-78 L	78-94 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Trabzonspor (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tofas

LWWWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/11	Anadolu Efes Turkiye BSL	93-87	W
01/11	Fenerbahce Turkiye BSL	77-88	L
25/10	Aliaga Petkim Gelisim Turkiye BSL	72-74	L
17/10	Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL	71-69	W
10/10	Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL	79-87	L
03/10	Merkezefendi Denizli Turkiye BSL	87-101	L
25/09	Bordo Basketbol Turkiye BSL	90-89	W
10/05	Aliaga Petkim Gelisim Turkiye BSL	73-71	W
03/05	Pinar Karsiyaka Turkiye BSL	87-78	W
25/04	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	76-78	L

Trabzonspor

WLLWLWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	Aliaga Petkim Gelisim Turkiye BSL	81-91	L
31/10	Korfez Basket Turkiye BSL	89-83	W
24/10	Esenler Erokspor Turkiye BSL	90-93	L
18/10	Merkezefendi Denizli Turkiye BSL	75-70	W
11/10	Bordo Basketbol Turkiye BSL	83-80	W
05/10	Besiktas Turkiye BSL	81-90	L
27/09	Bursaspor Turkiye BSL	82-76	W
28/05	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	78-94	L
26/05	Bahcesehir Koleji Turkiye BSL	65-91	L
10/05	Mersin BBGSK Turkiye BSL	90-80	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tofas vs Trabzonspor?

Our model gives 67% to Tofas.

How many points are expected in Tofas vs Trabzonspor?

The model estimates 168 total points (Tofas 87.1 · Trabzonspor 80.9).