Basketball · Czechia NBL · 07/11, 17:30

Prediction: BK JIP Pardubice vs BK Opava

Team pages: BK JIP Pardubice · BK Opava

Prediction summary

Estimated points

168.8Total

BK JIP Pardubice92

BK Opava76.8

1X2

86% 14%

BK JIP Pardubice BK Opava

Recent form · 10 last

BK JIP Pardubice 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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BK Opava 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

BK JIP Pardubice 3–3 BK Opava (6 last)

BK JIP Pardubice79-75BK Opava
BK Opava75-74BK JIP Pardubice
BK JIP Pardubice84-75BK Opava
BK Opava66-76BK JIP Pardubice
BK Opava77-76BK JIP Pardubice
BK JIP Pardubice76-83BK Opava

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK JIP Pardubice 1542 · BK Opava 1420

	BK JIP Pardubice	BK Opava
Our model	77%	23%
Market	89%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 168.8 points · Bet365 line 173.5 · -4.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points168.8BK JIP Pardubice 92 · BK Opava 76.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BK JIP Pardubice (rating 1542 vs 1420).
BK JIP Pardubice is a clear favourite (86% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BK JIP Pardubice	BK Opava
Points F\|A (Last 10)	88.5 / 80.8	83.4 / 89.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	90 / 73.2	85 / 89.4
Est. result	92	77

Est. total168.8

Line O/U173.5

Diff.4.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.05

28.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-15.5)1.83

2 (+15.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 173.51.83

Under 173.51.83

Diff.: 2.45 · Est. total: 171.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.05 → 1.05	Pinn 1.06 ★
2	8.25 → 8.25	Bet365 8.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.9% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	2
10:50 +2’	1.05	8.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
10:16 +36’	1.06	6.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK JIP Pardubice 3–0–3 BK Opava

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/03/26 Czechia NBL	BK JIP Pardubice	79-75	BK Opava
31/01/26 Czechia NBL	BK Opava	75-74	BK JIP Pardubice
14/01/26 Czechia NBL	BK JIP Pardubice	84-75	BK Opava
27/09/25 Czechia NBL	BK Opava	66-76	BK JIP Pardubice
16/11/24 Czechia NBL	BK Opava	77-76	BK JIP Pardubice
25/09/24 Czechia NBL	BK JIP Pardubice	76-83	BK Opava

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	11	10	1	1073	889
2	BK JIP Pardubice	11	9	2	985	862
3	NH Ostrava	9	6	3	768	713
4	Sokol Pisek	9	6	3	813	775
5	Usti Nad Labem	10	6	4	878	795
6	BK Decin	10	6	4	845	790
7	Brno	10	4	6	809	839
8	BK Opava	10	4	6	834	894
9	USK Praha	10	4	6	837	857
10	GAPA Hradec Kralove	10	3	7	853	927
11	Lokomotiva Plzen	10	1	9	762	907
12	BK Olomoucko	10	1	9	661	870

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK JIP Pardubice	BK Opava
USK Praha	102-85 W	97-88 W
Lokomotiva Plzen	98-74 W	92-82 W
Usti Nad Labem	83-64 W	76-86 L
BK Decin	79-82 L	83-76 W
Slavia Praha ERA NBK	60-105 L	96-121 L
NH Ostrava	110-98 W	77-89 L
Sokol Pisek	92-82 W	77-88 L
GAPA Hradec Kralove	88-78 W	83-75 W
Brno	85-79 W	72-75 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: BK JIP Pardubice (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK JIP Pardubice

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	USK Praha Czechia NBL	102-85	W
28/10	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	98-74	W
25/10	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	83-64	W
17/10	BK Decin Czechia NBL	79-82	L
14/10	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	88-61	W
10/10	Slavia Praha ERA NBK Czechia NBL	60-105	L
03/10	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	110-98	W
30/09	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	92-82	W
26/09	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	88-78	W
19/09	Brno Czechia NBL	85-79	W

BK Opava

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	83-75	W
30/10	Slavia Praha ERA NBK Czechia NBL	96-121	L
24/10	Brno Czechia NBL	72-75	L
17/10	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	77-88	L
10/10	USK Praha Czechia NBL	97-88	W
03/10	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	92-82	W
30/09	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	76-86	L
26/09	BK Decin Czechia NBL	83-76	W
23/09	Slavia Praha ERA Nbk Czechia NBL	81-114	L
19/09	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	77-89	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK JIP Pardubice vs BK Opava?

Our model gives 86% to BK JIP Pardubice.

How many points are expected in BK JIP Pardubice vs BK Opava?

The model estimates 168.8 total points (BK JIP Pardubice 92 · BK Opava 76.8).