Basketball · Czechia NBL · 15/11, 12:00

Prediction: Slavia Praha ERA NBK vs USK Praha

Team pages: Slavia Praha ERA NBK · USK Praha

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.1Total

Slavia Praha ERA NBK95.1

USK Praha78

1X2

89% 11%

Slavia Praha ERA NBK USK Praha

Recent form · 10 last

Slavia Praha ERA NBK 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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USK Praha 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Slavia Praha ERA NBK 4–2 USK Praha (6 last)

USK Praha80-88Slavia Praha ERA NBK
USK Praha76-81Slavia Praha ERA NBK
Slavia Praha ERA NBK83-85USK Praha
USK Praha79-72Slavia Praha ERA NBK
Slavia Praha ERA NBK98-94USK Praha
Slavia Praha ERA NBK86-71USK Praha

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slavia Praha ERA NBK 1567 · USK Praha 1505

	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	USK Praha
Our model	71%	29%
Market	94%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 173.1 points · Bet365 line 174.5 · -1.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points173.1Slavia Praha ERA NBK 95.1 · USK Praha 78

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slavia Praha ERA NBK (rating 1567 vs 1505).
Slavia Praha ERA NBK is a clear favourite (89% market).
H2H favours Slavia Praha ERA NBK: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	USK Praha
Points F\|A (Last 10)	98.5 / 81	84.2 / 85.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	100.8 / 85.2	85.6 / 84.2
Est. result	95	78

Est. total173.1

Line O/U174.5

Diff.1.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.01

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-22.5)1.83

2 (+22.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 174.51.83

Under 174.51.83

Diff.: 0.1 · Est. total: 174.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Pinn 1.02 ★
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 5.7% Pinnacle margin 8%

Time*	1	2
17:50 +7’	1.01	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:47 +10’	1.02	10.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slavia Praha ERA NBK 4–0–2 USK Praha

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	80-88	Slavia Praha ERA NBK
11/04/26 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	76-81	Slavia Praha ERA NBK
25/03/26 Czechia NBL	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	83-85	USK Praha
05/03/26 Czechia NBL	USK Praha	79-72	Slavia Praha ERA NBK
07/02/26 Czechia NBL	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	98-94	USK Praha
10/01/26 Czechia NBL	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	86-71	USK Praha

Standings · Czechia NBL

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	12	11	1	1187	971
2	BK JIP Pardubice	13	11	2	1165	1017
3	Sokol Pisek	10	7	3	905	840
4	NH Ostrava	10	6	4	850	798
5	BK Decin	12	7	5	1012	937
6	Usti Nad Labem	11	6	5	944	887
7	Brno	11	5	6	891	903
8	USK Praha	11	5	6	922	939
9	BK Opava	11	4	7	914	993
10	GAPA Hradec Kralove	11	3	8	917	1009
11	Lokomotiva Plzen	11	1	10	844	1021
12	BK Olomoucko	11	1	10	726	962

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slavia Praha ERA NBK	USK Praha
Lokomotiva Plzen	114-82 W	84-81 W
BK Decin	89-78 W	57-74 L
Usti Nad Labem	91-89 W	80-89 L
BK Opava	121-96 W	88-97 L
Sokol Pisek	89-81 W	105-89 W
NH Ostrava	79-91 L	85-82 W
BK JIP Pardubice	105-60 W	85-102 L
GAPA Hradec Kralove	101-75 W	93-85 W
BK Olomoucko	88-62 W	85-61 W
Brno	108-96 W	80-91 L
Record vs common	9 W 0 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Slavia Praha ERA NBK (8 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slavia Praha ERA NBK

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
06/11	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	114-82	W
04/11	BK Decin Czechia NBL	89-78	W
01/11	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	91-89	W
30/10	BK Opava Czechia NBL	121-96	W
23/10	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	89-81	W
17/10	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	79-91	L
10/10	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	105-60	W
03/10	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	101-75	W
30/09	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	88-62	W
26/09	Brno Czechia NBL	108-96	W

USK Praha

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
07/11	NH Ostrava Czechia NBL	85-82	W
31/10	BK JIP Pardubice Czechia NBL	85-102	L
28/10	GAPA Hradec Kralove Czechia NBL	93-85	W
24/10	BK Olomoucko Czechia NBL	85-61	W
18/10	Brno Czechia NBL	80-91	L
10/10	BK Opava Czechia NBL	88-97	L
03/10	Sokol Pisek Czechia NBL	105-89	W
30/09	Lokomotiva Plzen Czechia NBL	84-81	W
26/09	Usti Nad Labem Czechia NBL	80-89	L
23/09	BK Decin Czechia NBL	57-74	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slavia Praha ERA NBK vs USK Praha?

Our model gives 89% to Slavia Praha ERA NBK.

How many points are expected in Slavia Praha ERA NBK vs USK Praha?

The model estimates 173.1 total points (Slavia Praha ERA NBK 95.1 · USK Praha 78).