Basketball · Mexico LNBP · 13/11, 04:45
Prediction: Soles Mexicali vs Astros de Jalisco
Team pages: Soles Mexicali · Astros de Jalisco
Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.3Total
Soles Mexicali85.3
Astros de Jalisco81
1X2
Soles Mexicali
Astros de Jalisco
Markets
Over 158.5 points 75%
Recent form · 10 last
Soles Mexicali
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Astros de Jalisco
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Soles Mexicali
4–2
Astros de Jalisco
(6 last)
- Astros de Jalisco81-74Soles Mexicali
- Astros de Jalisco76-90Soles Mexicali
- Soles Mexicali78-82Astros de Jalisco
- Soles Mexicali81-78Astros de Jalisco
- Soles Mexicali75-71Astros de Jalisco
- Soles Mexicali81-75Astros de Jalisco
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Soles Mexicali 1568 · Astros de Jalisco 1602
| Soles Mexicali | Astros de Jalisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 63% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
166.3 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · +7.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points166.3Soles Mexicali 85.3 · Astros de Jalisco 81
Match keys
- H2H favours Soles Mexicali: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Soles Mexicali | Astros de Jalisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 90.1 / 74.8 | 90.8 / 80.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88.8 / 76.4 | 87.8 / 79.4 |
| Est. result | 85 | 81 |
Est. total166.3
Line O/U158.5
Diff.7.8
Over / Under75% / 25%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Soles Mexicali 4–0–2 Astros de Jalisco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Mexico LNBP | Astros de Jalisco | 81-74 | Soles Mexicali |
| 12/09/26 Mexico LNBP | Astros de Jalisco | 76-90 | Soles Mexicali |
| 06/09/26 Mexico LNBP Mid-Season Cup | Soles Mexicali | 78-82 | Astros de Jalisco |
| 13/08/25 Mexico LNBP | Soles Mexicali | 81-78 | Astros de Jalisco |
| 11/07/25 Mexico LNBP | Soles Mexicali | 75-71 | Astros de Jalisco |
| 31/10/24 Mexico LNBP | Soles Mexicali | 81-75 | Astros de Jalisco |
Standings · Mexico LNBP · LNBP 2026, West
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soles Mexicali | 28 | 21 | 7 | 2382 | 2090 | 49 |
| 2 | Astros de Jalisco | 28 | 20 | 8 | 2473 | 2246 | 48 |
| 3 | Lobos Puebla | 28 | 18 | 10 | 2366 | 2251 | 46 |
| 4 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 28 | 15 | 13 | 2411 | 2371 | 43 |
| 5 | Diablos Rojos | 28 | 11 | 17 | 2294 | 2370 | 39 |
| 6 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo | 28 | 11 | 17 | 2233 | 2327 | 39 |
| 7 | El Calor de Cancun | 28 | 9 | 19 | 2276 | 2384 | 37 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Soles Mexicali
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
110-79 | W |
| 04/11 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
87-75 | W |
| 03/11 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
84-87 | L |
| 31/10 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
83-65 | W |
| 30/10 | Panteras Aguascalientes Mexico LNBP |
80-76 | W |
| 23/10 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
92-70 | W |
| 20/10 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
100-60 | W |
| 19/10 | Abejas Mexico LNBP |
102-58 | W |
| 08/10 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
75-92 | L |
| 07/10 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
88-86 | W |
Astros de Jalisco
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
82-77 | W |
| 03/11 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
83-69 | W |
| 31/10 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
97-90 | W |
| 30/10 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
96-89 | W |
| 23/10 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
81-72 | W |
| 20/10 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
86-83 | W |
| 19/10 | Mineros de Zacatecas Mexico LNBP |
100-78 | W |
| 08/10 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
86-71 | W |
| 07/10 | Gambusinos de Fresnillo Mexico LNBP |
96-89 | W |
| 04/10 | Fuerza Regia Mexico LNBP |
101-87 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Soles Mexicali vs Astros de Jalisco?
Our model gives 62% to Soles Mexicali.
How many points are expected in Soles Mexicali vs Astros de Jalisco?
The model estimates 166.3 total points (Soles Mexicali 85.3 · Astros de Jalisco 81).