Basketball · Lebanon FLB · 04/11, 20:45
Prediction: Sagesse vs Homenetmen
Team pages: Sagesse
Prediction summary
Estimated points
188.7Total
Sagesse102.6
Homenetmen86.1
1X2
Sagesse
Homenetmen
Recent form · 10 last
Sagesse
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Homenetmen
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sagesse
6–0
Homenetmen
(6 last)
- Sagesse99-97Homenetmen
- Homenetmen60-106Sagesse
- Sagesse118-98Homenetmen
- Homenetmen87-89Sagesse
- Sagesse131-120Homenetmen
- Homenetmen102-114Sagesse
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sagesse 1646 · Homenetmen 1404
| Sagesse | Homenetmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 87% | 13% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
188.7 points · Bet365 line 176.5 · +12.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points188.7Sagesse 102.6 · Homenetmen 86.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sagesse (rating 1646 vs 1404).
- Sagesse is a clear favourite (88% market).
- H2H favours Sagesse: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sagesse | Homenetmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.6 / 89.1 | 87.3 / 101 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 93.2 / 91 | 80.4 / 100.4 |
| Est. result | 103 | 86 |
Est. total188.7
Line O/U176.5
Diff.12.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sagesse 6–0–0 Homenetmen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Lebanon FLB | Sagesse | 99-97 | Homenetmen |
| 10/06/26 Lebanon FLB | Homenetmen | 60-106 | Sagesse |
| 06/06/26 Lebanon FLB | Sagesse | 118-98 | Homenetmen |
| 27/05/26 Lebanon FLB | Homenetmen | 87-89 | Sagesse |
| 27/12/25 Lebanon FLB | Sagesse | 131-120 | Homenetmen |
| 07/05/25 Lebanon FLB | Homenetmen | 102-114 | Sagesse |
Standings · Lebanon FLB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beirut Club | 2 | 2 | 0 | 164 | 124 | 4 |
| 2 | Antranik | 2 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 145 | 4 |
| 3 | Central | 2 | 2 | 0 | 176 | 153 | 4 |
| 4 | Sagesse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 205 | 191 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Riyadi Beirut | 1 | 1 | 0 | 103 | 58 | 2 |
| 6 | Chabeb Batroun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 88 | 78 | 2 |
| 7 | Antonine | 2 | 0 | 2 | 144 | 186 | 2 |
| 8 | Atlas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 156 | 212 | 2 |
| 9 | Nadim Souaid Academy | 2 | 0 | 2 | 171 | 182 | 2 |
| 10 | Hoops | 2 | 0 | 2 | 131 | 154 | 2 |
| 11 | Homenetmen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 147 | 179 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sagesse | Homenetmen |
|---|---|---|
| Al Riyadi Beirut | 79-100 L | 126-125 W |
| Central | 95-83 W | 75-90 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sagesse
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Nadim Souaid Academy Lebanon FLB |
96-93 | W |
| 28/10 | Atlas Lebanon FLB |
109-98 | W |
| 03/08 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
79-100 | L |
| 01/08 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
96-65 | W |
| 30/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
86-99 | L |
| 28/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
90-78 | W |
| 26/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
85-87 | L |
| 24/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
101-96 | W |
| 22/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
89-92 | L |
| 18/07 | Central Lebanon FLB |
95-83 | W |
Homenetmen
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Central Lebanon FLB |
75-90 | L |
| 25/10 | Antranik Lebanon FLB |
72-89 | L |
| 13/06 | Sagesse Lebanon FLB |
97-99 | L |
| 10/06 | Sagesse Lebanon FLB |
60-106 | L |
| 06/06 | Sagesse Lebanon FLB |
98-118 | L |
| 31/05 | Chabeb Batroun Lebanon FLB |
74-82 | L |
| 27/05 | Sagesse Lebanon FLB |
87-89 | L |
| 24/05 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
126-125 | W |
| 16/02 | Central Lebanon FLB |
96-105 | L |
| 09/02 | Beirut Club Lebanon FLB |
88-107 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sagesse vs Homenetmen?
Our model gives 88% to Sagesse.
How many points are expected in Sagesse vs Homenetmen?
The model estimates 188.7 total points (Sagesse 102.6 · Homenetmen 86.1).