Basketball · Lebanon FLB · 07/11, 20:45
Prediction: Hoops vs Sagesse
Prediction summary
Estimated points
166.5Total
Hoops77.6
Sagesse88.9
1X2
Hoops
Sagesse
Recent form · 10 last
Hoops
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Sagesse
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hoops
1–5
Sagesse
(6 last)
- Sagesse95-80Hoops
- Sagesse94-100Hoops
- Hoops74-97Sagesse
- Sagesse110-107Hoops
- Hoops79-85Sagesse
- Sagesse97-56Hoops
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hoops 1491 · Sagesse 1614
| Hoops | Sagesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
Estimated total (ours)
166.5 points · Bet365 line 174.5 · -8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points166.5Hoops 77.6 · Sagesse 88.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sagesse (rating 1491 vs 1614).
- Sagesse is a clear favourite (79% market).
- H2H favours Sagesse: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Hoops | Sagesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.8 / 77.6 | 90.7 / 87.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 69.2 / 82.6 | 91.2 / 85.2 |
| Est. result | 78 | 89 |
Est. total166.5
Line O/U174.5
Diff.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hoops 1–0–5 Sagesse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/26 Arab Club Championship | Sagesse | 95-80 | Hoops |
| 17/01/26 Lebanon FLB | Sagesse | 94-100 | Hoops |
| 25/10/25 Lebanon FLB | Hoops | 74-97 | Sagesse |
| 23/04/25 Lebanon FLB | Sagesse | 110-107 | Hoops |
| 12/02/25 Lebanon FLB | Hoops | 79-85 | Sagesse |
| 23/03/24 Lebanon FLB | Sagesse | 97-56 | Hoops |
Standings · Lebanon FLB
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antranik | 3 | 3 | 0 | 273 | 224 | 6 |
| 2 | Sagesse | 3 | 3 | 0 | 281 | 261 | 6 |
| 3 | Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 253 | 234 | 5 |
| 4 | Beirut Club | 2 | 2 | 0 | 164 | 124 | 4 |
| 5 | Hoops | 3 | 1 | 2 | 212 | 231 | 4 |
| 6 | Al Riyadi Beirut | 2 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 137 | 4 |
| 7 | Chabeb Batroun | 2 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 186 | 3 |
| 8 | Antonine | 3 | 0 | 3 | 223 | 282 | 3 |
| 9 | Homenetmen | 3 | 0 | 3 | 217 | 255 | 3 |
| 10 | Nadim Souaid Academy | 2 | 0 | 2 | 171 | 182 | 2 |
| 11 | Atlas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 156 | 212 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hoops
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Central Lebanon FLB |
81-77 | W |
| 29/10 | Antranik Lebanon FLB |
73-88 | L |
| 26/10 | Beirut Club Lebanon FLB |
58-66 | L |
| 12/06 | Central Lebanon FLB |
62-68 | L |
| 08/06 | Central Lebanon FLB |
72-114 | L |
| 05/06 | Central Lebanon FLB |
74-82 | L |
| 31/05 | Central Lebanon FLB |
93-87 | W |
| 27/05 | CS Maristes Lebanon FLB |
111-55 | W |
| 24/05 | Nadim Souaid Academy Lebanon FLB |
85-82 | W |
| 12/02 | Club Tadamon Hrajel Lebanon FLB |
89-57 | W |
Sagesse
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Homenetmen Lebanon FLB |
76-70 | W |
| 01/11 | Nadim Souaid Academy Lebanon FLB |
96-93 | W |
| 28/10 | Atlas Lebanon FLB |
109-98 | W |
| 03/08 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
79-100 | L |
| 01/08 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
96-65 | W |
| 30/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
86-99 | L |
| 28/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
90-78 | W |
| 26/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
85-87 | L |
| 24/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
101-96 | W |
| 22/07 | Al Riyadi Beirut Lebanon FLB |
89-92 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hoops vs Sagesse?
Our model gives 79% to Sagesse.
How many points are expected in Hoops vs Sagesse?
The model estimates 166.5 total points (Hoops 77.6 · Sagesse 88.9).