Basketball · Ukraine FBU Superleague · 24/10, 12:00

Prediction: Dnipro vs Zaporizhya

Team pages: Dnipro

Prediction summary

Estimated points

149.8Total

Dnipro76

Zaporizhya73.8

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

56% 44%

Dnipro Zaporizhya

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 155.5 points 72%

Recent form · 10 last

Dnipro 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Zaporizhya 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dnipro 6–0 Zaporizhya (6 last)

Dnipro98-68Zaporizhya
Zaporizhya70-78Dnipro
Dnipro83-69Zaporizhya
Zaporizhya69-84Dnipro
Zaporizhya60-80Dnipro
Dnipro83-51Zaporizhya

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dnipro 1620 · Zaporizhya 1520

	Dnipro	Zaporizhya
Our model	75%	25%
Market	51%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 149.8 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · -5.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points149.8Dnipro 76 · Zaporizhya 73.8

Over / Under 155.5Under · 72%recent trend · ~141.6 pts · strength 14

Match keys

H2H favours Dnipro: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Dnipro	Zaporizhya
Points F\|A (Last 10)	80 / 66.6	79.1 / 73.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	67.4 / 65.6	82.2 / 71.2
Est. result	76	74

Est. total149.8

Line O/U155.5

Diff.5.7

Over / Under28% / 72%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.80

21.87

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.87

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 6.05 · Est. total: 149.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
2	1.87 → 1.87	Bet365 1.87

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
19:16 +37’	1.80	1.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dnipro 6–0–0 Zaporizhya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/02/26 Ukraine FBU Superleague	Dnipro	98-68	Zaporizhya
07/12/25 Ukraine FBU Superleague	Zaporizhya	70-78	Dnipro
12/10/25 Ukraine FBU Superleague	Dnipro	83-69	Zaporizhya
08/03/25 Ukraine FBU Superleague	Zaporizhya	69-84	Dnipro
18/01/25 Ukraine FBU Superleague	Zaporizhya	60-80	Dnipro
14/12/24 Ukraine FBU Superleague	Dnipro	83-51	Zaporizhya

Standings · Ukraine FBU Superleague

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Zaporizhya	6	5	1	506	426
2	Kyiv Basket	6	5	1	495	426
3	Dnipro	4	3	1	300	283
4	BC Rivne	6	4	2	485	452
5	Kharkivski Sokoly	6	3	3	508	457
6	Khmelnytskyi	4	2	2	274	306
7	Cherkaski Mavpy	4	1	3	271	345
8	Niko-Basket Mykolaiv	4	1	3	298	352
9	Staryi Lutsk University	6	1	5	455	500
10	BC Goverla	4	0	4	288	333

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dnipro	Zaporizhya
BC Rivne	63-78 L	86-81 W
Kyiv Basket	37-45 L	92-62 W
BC Goverla	84-70 W	95-70 W
Khmelnytskyi	83-67 W	72-75 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Zaporizhya (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dnipro

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague	63-78	L
17/10	VolinBasket Ukraine FBU Superleague	70-68	W
11/10	Kyiv Basket Ukraine FBU Superleague	37-45	L
04/10	BC Goverla Ukraine FBU Superleague	84-70	W
02/10	Khmelnytskyi Ukraine FBU Superleague	83-67	W
26/04	Kyiv Basket Ukraine FBU Superleague	78-70	W
19/04	BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague	83-67	W
16/04	BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague	100-72	W
08/04	Cherkaski Mavpy Ukraine FBU Superleague	109-67	W
04/04	Cherkaski Mavpy Ukraine FBU Superleague	93-62	W

Zaporizhya

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Staryi Lutsk University Ukraine FBU Superleague	76-57	W
17/10	BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague	86-81	W
11/10	Kharkivski Sokoly Ukraine FBU Superleague	85-81	W
10/10	Kyiv Basket Ukraine FBU Superleague	92-62	W
04/10	Khmelnytskyi Ukraine FBU Superleague	72-75	L
02/10	BC Goverla Ukraine FBU Superleague	95-70	W
10/04	Kyiv Basket Ukraine FBU Superleague	64-75	L
04/04	Kyiv Basket Ukraine FBU Superleague	64-73	L
29/03	BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague	83-74	W
28/03	Kyiv Basket Ukraine FBU Superleague	74-84	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dnipro vs Zaporizhya?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Dnipro 56% · Zaporizhya 44%).

How many points are expected in Dnipro vs Zaporizhya?

The model estimates 149.8 total points (Dnipro 76 · Zaporizhya 73.8).

Over or under 155.5 points?

Recent history points to under 155.5 points (72%).