Basketball · Ukraine FBU Superleague · 23/10, 17:30
Prediction: BC Goverla vs Kharkivski Sokoly
Team pages: Kharkivski Sokoly
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Prediction summary
Estimated points
158.8Total
BC Goverla75.7
Kharkivski Sokoly83.1
1X2
BC Goverla
Kharkivski Sokoly
Markets
Under 166.5 points 79%
Recent form · 10 last
BC Goverla
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Kharkivski Sokoly
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
BC Goverla
0–5
Kharkivski Sokoly
(5 last)
- BC Goverla77-82Kharkivski Sokoly
- Kharkivski Sokoly73-61BC Goverla
- Kharkivski Sokoly75-65BC Goverla
- BC Goverla76-83Kharkivski Sokoly
- Kharkivski Sokoly85-61BC Goverla
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BC Goverla 1379 · Kharkivski Sokoly 1501
| BC Goverla | Kharkivski Sokoly | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 26% | 74% |
Estimated total (ours)
158.8 points · Bet365 line 166.5 · -7.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points158.8BC Goverla 75.7 · Kharkivski Sokoly 83.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kharkivski Sokoly (rating 1379 vs 1501).
- Kharkivski Sokoly is a clear favourite (70% market).
- H2H favours Kharkivski Sokoly: 5-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| BC Goverla | Kharkivski Sokoly | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.4 / 83 | 82 / 79.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 80 / 88 | 87 / 77.6 |
| Est. result | 76 | 83 |
Est. total158.8
Line O/U166.5
Diff.7.7
Over / Under21% / 79%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · BC Goverla 0–0–5 Kharkivski Sokoly
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Ukraine FBU Superleague | BC Goverla | 77-82 | Kharkivski Sokoly |
| 14/02/26 Ukraine FBU Superleague | Kharkivski Sokoly | 73-61 | BC Goverla |
| 19/10/25 Ukraine FBU Superleague | Kharkivski Sokoly | 75-65 | BC Goverla |
| 12/04/19 Ukraine Higher League | BC Goverla | 76-83 | Kharkivski Sokoly |
| 06/04/19 Ukraine Higher League | Kharkivski Sokoly | 85-61 | BC Goverla |
Standings · Ukraine FBU Superleague
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaporizhya | 6 | 5 | 1 | 506 | 426 | 0 |
| 2 | Kyiv Basket | 5 | 4 | 1 | 423 | 375 | 0 |
| 3 | Dnipro | 4 | 3 | 1 | 300 | 283 | 0 |
| 4 | Khmelnytskyi | 3 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 234 | 0 |
| 5 | BC Rivne | 5 | 3 | 2 | 409 | 388 | 0 |
| 6 | Kharkivski Sokoly | 5 | 2 | 3 | 435 | 388 | 0 |
| 7 | Cherkaski Mavpy | 3 | 1 | 2 | 207 | 269 | 0 |
| 8 | Staryi Lutsk University | 5 | 1 | 4 | 374 | 408 | 0 |
| 9 | BC Goverla | 3 | 0 | 3 | 219 | 260 | 0 |
| 10 | Niko-Basket Mykolaiv | 3 | 0 | 3 | 206 | 271 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BC Goverla | Kharkivski Sokoly |
|---|---|---|
| Zaporizhya | 70-95 L | 81-85 L |
| BC Rivne | 105-103 W | 81-93 L |
| Niko-Basket Mykolaiv | 78-84 L | 82-65 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kharkivski Sokoly (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BC Goverla
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Khmelnytskyi Ukraine FBU Superleague |
79-81 | L |
| 04/10 | Dnipro Ukraine FBU Superleague |
70-84 | L |
| 02/10 | Zaporizhya Ukraine FBU Superleague |
70-95 | L |
| 15/05 | BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague |
105-103 | W |
| 10/04 | BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague |
76-77 | L |
| 07/04 | BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague |
85-73 | W |
| 04/04 | BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague |
71-79 | L |
| 29/03 | Niko-Basket Mykolaiv Ukraine FBU Superleague |
78-84 | L |
| 08/03 | Dnipro Ukraine FBU Superleague |
70-80 | L |
| 07/03 | Zaporizhya Ukraine FBU Superleague |
80-74 | W |
Kharkivski Sokoly
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Cherkaski Mavpy Ukraine FBU Superleague |
105-57 | W |
| 17/10 | Niko-Basket Mykolaiv Ukraine FBU Superleague |
82-65 | W |
| 11/10 | Zaporizhya Ukraine FBU Superleague |
81-85 | L |
| 02/10 | Staryi Lutsk University Ukraine FBU Superleague |
86-88 | L |
| 01/10 | BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague |
81-93 | L |
| 02/05 | BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague |
74-82 | L |
| 29/04 | BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague |
87-92 | L |
| 25/04 | BC Rivne Ukraine FBU Superleague |
83-70 | W |
| 21/04 | Kyiv Basket Ukraine FBU Superleague |
59-89 | L |
| 18/04 | Kyiv Basket Ukraine FBU Superleague |
82-72 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BC Goverla vs Kharkivski Sokoly?
Our model gives 70% to Kharkivski Sokoly.
How many points are expected in BC Goverla vs Kharkivski Sokoly?
The model estimates 158.8 total points (BC Goverla 75.7 · Kharkivski Sokoly 83.1).