Basketball · Uruguay Liga · 13/11, 23:15
Prediction: Aguada vs Hebraica Macabi
Team pages: Aguada · Hebraica Macabi
Prediction summary
Estimated points
162.1Total
Aguada85.1
Hebraica Macabi77
1X2
Aguada
Hebraica Macabi
Markets
Under 167 points 70%
Recent form · 10 last
Aguada
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Hebraica Macabi
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aguada
6–0
Hebraica Macabi
(6 last)
- Hebraica Macabi81-85Aguada
- Aguada84-74Hebraica Macabi
- Hebraica Macabi73-78Aguada
- Aguada102-100Hebraica Macabi
- Hebraica Macabi77-97Aguada
- Aguada85-80Hebraica Macabi
Model analysis
Estimated points162.1Aguada 85.1 · Hebraica Macabi 77
Over / Under 167Under · 70%recent trend · ~159.7 pts · strength 7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguada (rating 1558 vs 1480).
- Aguada is a clear favourite (72% market).
- H2H favours Aguada: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Aguada | Hebraica Macabi | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.1 / 80 | 79.2 / 80.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75 / 76 | 84.6 / 81.4 |
| Est. result | 85 | 77 |
Est. total162.1
Line O/U167
Diff.4.9
Over / Under30% / 70%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguada 6–0–0 Hebraica Macabi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Uruguay Liga | Hebraica Macabi | 81-85 | Aguada |
| 10/05/26 Uruguay Liga | Aguada | 84-74 | Hebraica Macabi |
| 07/05/26 Uruguay Liga | Hebraica Macabi | 73-78 | Aguada |
| 15/04/26 Uruguay Liga | Aguada | 102-100 | Hebraica Macabi |
| 17/03/26 Uruguay Liga | Hebraica Macabi | 77-97 | Aguada |
| 17/02/26 Uruguay Liga | Aguada | 85-80 | Hebraica Macabi |
Standings · Uruguay Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goes | 6 | 5 | 1 | 561 | 502 | 11 |
| 2 | Bigua | 6 | 5 | 1 | 557 | 508 | 11 |
| 3 | Malvin | 6 | 3 | 3 | 459 | 478 | 9 |
| 4 | Penarol Montevideo | 4 | 4 | 0 | 364 | 294 | 8 |
| 5 | Hebraica Macabi | 5 | 3 | 2 | 423 | 407 | 8 |
| 6 | Urunday Universitario | 6 | 2 | 4 | 478 | 484 | 8 |
| 7 | CA Atenas Montevideo | 6 | 1 | 5 | 426 | 532 | 7 |
| 8 | Union Atletica | 6 | 1 | 5 | 463 | 507 | 7 |
| 9 | Aguada | 5 | 3 | 2 | 392 | 379 | 6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 4 | 447 | 477 | 6 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 4 | 2 | 2 | 309 | 308 | 6 |
| 12 | Larranaga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 423 | 426 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aguada | Hebraica Macabi |
|---|---|---|
| Penarol Montevideo | 66-82 L | 62-74 L |
| Union Atletica | 66-63 W | 96-76 W |
| Nacional | 83-81 W | 83-78 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hebraica Macabi (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aguada
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
66-82 | L |
| 05/11 | Goes Uruguay Liga |
84-87 | L |
| 31/10 | CA Atenas Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
84-57 | W |
| 28/10 | Larranaga Uruguay Liga |
75-91 | L |
| 24/10 | Union Atletica Uruguay Liga |
66-63 | W |
| 21/10 | Nacional Uruguay Liga |
83-81 | W |
| 23/06 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
92-107 | L |
| 20/06 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
71-80 | L |
| 17/06 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
92-81 | W |
| 13/06 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
78-71 | W |
Hebraica Macabi
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Union Atletica Uruguay Liga |
96-76 | W |
| 07/11 | Nacional Uruguay Liga |
83-78 | W |
| 01/11 | Malvin Uruguay Liga |
78-84 | L |
| 25/10 | Urunday Universitario Uruguay Liga |
80-77 | W |
| 20/10 | Bigua Uruguay Liga |
86-92 | L |
| 13/05 | Aguada Uruguay Liga |
81-85 | L |
| 10/05 | Aguada Uruguay Liga |
74-84 | L |
| 07/05 | Aguada Uruguay Liga |
73-78 | L |
| 03/05 | Penarol Montevideo Uruguay Liga |
62-74 | L |
| 29/04 | Nacional Uruguay Liga |
79-81 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aguada vs Hebraica Macabi?
Our model gives 72% to Aguada.
How many points are expected in Aguada vs Hebraica Macabi?
The model estimates 162.1 total points (Aguada 85.1 · Hebraica Macabi 77).
Over or under 167 points?
Recent history points to under 167 points (70%).