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Basketball · Brazil FPB · 12/10, 21:00

Prediction: Mogi das Cruzes vs Franca

Team pages: Mogi das Cruzes · Franca

Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.8Total
Mogi das Cruzes83.4
Franca73.5
1X2
76% 24%
Mogi das Cruzes Franca
Recent form · 10 last
Mogi das Cruzes 9-0-1 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWWWWW
Franca 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWWWWWLL
Head-to-head
Mogi das Cruzes 3–3 Franca (6 last)
  • Mogi das Cruzes92-60Franca
  • Franca82-86Mogi das Cruzes
  • Franca86-78Mogi das Cruzes
  • Franca78-77Mogi das Cruzes
  • Franca90-102Mogi das Cruzes
  • Mogi das Cruzes70-88Franca
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mogi das Cruzes 1632 · Franca 1570
Mogi das CruzesFranca
Our model71%29%
Market78%22%
Estimated total (ours) 156.8 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +1.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points156.8Mogi das Cruzes 83.4 · Franca 73.5

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mogi das Cruzes (rating 1632 vs 1570).
  • Mogi das Cruzes is a clear favourite (76% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Mogi das CruzesFranca
Points F|A (Last 10)89.6 / 73.177.5 / 72.1
Points F|A (Last 5)87.2 / 71.674.4 / 74.2
Est. result8374
Est. total156.8
Line O/U155.5
Diff.1.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mogi das Cruzes 3–0–3 Franca

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/10/26
Brazil FPB
Mogi das Cruzes92-60Franca
08/10/26
Brazil FPB
Franca82-86Mogi das Cruzes
28/08/26
Brazil FPB
Franca86-78Mogi das Cruzes
16/05/26
Brazil NBB
Franca78-77Mogi das Cruzes
14/05/26
Brazil NBB
Franca90-102Mogi das Cruzes
10/05/26
Brazil NBB
Mogi das Cruzes70-88Franca

Standings · Brazil FPB

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Franca 761 5444680
2 Mogi das Cruzes 761 6225030
3 Corinthians 752 5875370
4 Bauru 743 5505390
5 Pinheiros 725 5015630
6 Sao Jose 725 5695530
7 Osasco 716 4576570
8 Paulistano 725 5455550

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMogi das CruzesFranca
Sao Jose 104-81 W 60-75 L
Osasco 89-74 W 85-64 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mogi das Cruzes

WWLWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent FT Res.
11/10 Franca
Brazil FPB
 92-60 W
08/10 Franca
Brazil FPB
 86-82 W
25/09 Corinthians
Brazil FPB
 70-68 W
24/09 Corinthians
Brazil FPB
 94-85 W
22/09 Corinthians
Brazil FPB
 94-63 W
10/09 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
 104-81 W
04/09 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
 102-77 W
28/08 Franca
Brazil FPB
 78-86 L
22/08 Corinthians
Brazil FPB
 87-55 W
21/08 Osasco
Brazil FPB
 89-74 W

Franca

WLWWWWWWLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
11/10 Mogi das Cruzes
Brazil FPB
 60-92 L
08/10 Mogi das Cruzes
Brazil FPB
 82-86 L
30/09 Paulistano
Brazil FPB
 69-68 W
27/09 Paulistano
Brazil FPB
 81-66 W
23/09 Paulistano
Brazil FPB
 80-59 W
11/09 Osasco
Brazil FPB
 85-64 W
05/09 Osasco
Brazil FPB
 93-72 W
28/08 Mogi das Cruzes
Brazil FPB
 86-78 W
23/08 Sao Jose
Brazil FPB
 60-75 L
21/08 Pinheiros
Brazil FPB
 79-61 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mogi das Cruzes vs Franca?

Our model gives 76% to Mogi das Cruzes.

How many points are expected in Mogi das Cruzes vs Franca?

The model estimates 156.8 total points (Mogi das Cruzes 83.4 · Franca 73.5).