Basketball · Chile LNB · 01/10, 02:30

Prediction: Colegio Los Leones vs Deportivo Valdivia

Team pages: Colegio Los Leones · Deportivo Valdivia

Prediction summary

Estimated points

152.8Total

Colegio Los Leones76.4

Deportivo Valdivia76.4

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

50% 50%

Colegio Los Leones Deportivo Valdivia

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Colegio Los Leones 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Deportivo Valdivia 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Colegio Los Leones 4–2 Deportivo Valdivia (6 last)

Deportivo Valdivia92-77Colegio Los Leones
Deportivo Valdivia50-85Colegio Los Leones
Deportivo Valdivia58-56Colegio Los Leones
Colegio Los Leones79-65Deportivo Valdivia
Colegio Los Leones70-63Deportivo Valdivia
Deportivo Valdivia63-70Colegio Los Leones

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colegio Los Leones 1607 · Deportivo Valdivia 1601

	Colegio Los Leones	Deportivo Valdivia
Our model	63%	37%
Market	47%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 152.8 points · Bet365 line 153.5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points152.8Colegio Los Leones 76.4 · Deportivo Valdivia 76.4

Match keys

H2H favours Colegio Los Leones: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Colegio Los Leones	Deportivo Valdivia
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.7 / 75.6	87.1 / 71.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82.2 / 76.4	88 / 71
Est. result	76	76

Est. total152.8

Line O/U153.5

Diff.0.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.95

21.74

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.83

2 (-1.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 153.51.83

Under 153.51.83

Diff.: 4.25 · Est. total: 157.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.05 ★
2	1.74 → 1.74	Bet365 1.74

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 11.5%

Time*	1	2
14:46 +1’	1.95	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
13:37 +10’	1.96	1.66
14:31 +16’	2.05▲	1.59▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Colegio Los Leones 4–0–2 Deportivo Valdivia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/26 Chile LNB	Deportivo Valdivia	92-77	Colegio Los Leones
21/12/25 Chile LNB	Deportivo Valdivia	50-85	Colegio Los Leones
20/12/25 Chile LNB	Deportivo Valdivia	58-56	Colegio Los Leones
17/12/25 Chile LNB	Colegio Los Leones	79-65	Deportivo Valdivia
16/12/25 Chile LNB	Colegio Los Leones	70-63	Deportivo Valdivia
16/03/25 Chile LNB	Deportivo Valdivia	63-70	Colegio Los Leones

Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deportivo Valdivia	4	4	0	350	297	8
2	CDU Concepcion	4	3	1	352	310	7
3	Colegio Los Leones	4	3	1	332	306	7
4	Puerto Montt Basquetbol	4	3	1	316	316	7
5	ABA Ancud	4	2	2	312	322	6
6	Espanol Osorno	4	1	3	303	315	5
7	Puerto Varas	4	0	4	296	338	4
8	Puente Alto	4	0	4	302	359	4

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colegio Los Leones	Deportivo Valdivia
Espanol Osorno	89-67 W	83-82 W
Puente Alto	87-75 W	86-62 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colegio Los Leones

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/09	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	89-67	W
27/09	Deportivo Valdivia Chile LNB	77-92	L
18/09	Puente Alto Chile LNB	87-75	W
16/09	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	79-72	W
18/08	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	79-76	W
17/08	CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB	96-69	W
13/08	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	76-97	L
08/08	Universidad Catolica Chile LNB	87-74	W
06/08	CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB	61-60	W
04/08	CDU Concepcion Chile LNB	86-74	W

Deportivo Valdivia

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
28/09	Puente Alto Chile LNB	86-62	W
27/09	Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB	92-77	W
15/09	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	89-76	W
13/09	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	83-82	W
18/08	Las Animas Chile LNB	90-58	W
12/08	Puerto Varas Chile LNB	96-69	W
09/08	Puerto Montt Basquetbol Chile LNB	80-74	W
07/08	Espanol Osorno Chile LNB	77-70	W
03/08	ABA Ancud Chile LNB	86-64	W
02/08	CD Castro Chile LNB	92-79	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colegio Los Leones vs Deportivo Valdivia?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Colegio Los Leones 50% · Deportivo Valdivia 50%).

How many points are expected in Colegio Los Leones vs Deportivo Valdivia?

The model estimates 152.8 total points (Colegio Los Leones 76.4 · Deportivo Valdivia 76.4).