Basketball · Colombia Liga · 30/09, 03:30
Prediction: Paisas vs Caribbean Storm Islands
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Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.9Total
Paisas91.9
Caribbean Storm Islands74
1X2
Paisas
Caribbean Storm Islands
Markets
Over 152.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
Paisas
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Caribbean Storm Islands
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Paisas
4–2
Caribbean Storm Islands
(6 last)
- Caribbean Storm Islands57-75Paisas
- Caribbean Storm Islands68-78Paisas
- Paisas79-83Caribbean Storm Islands
- Paisas65-61Caribbean Storm Islands
- Caribbean Storm Islands79-108Paisas
- Caribbean Storm Islands118-74Paisas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paisas 1550 · Caribbean Storm Islands 1396
| Paisas | Caribbean Storm Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 80% | 20% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.9 points · Bet365 line 152.5 · +13.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.9Paisas 91.9 · Caribbean Storm Islands 74
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paisas (rating 1550 vs 1396).
- Paisas is a clear favourite (90% market).
- H2H favours Paisas: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Paisas | Caribbean Storm Islands | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.3 / 87.5 | 74.9 / 92.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 90.8 / 93.8 | 77.8 / 88.6 |
| Est. result | 92 | 74 |
Est. total165.9
Line O/U152.5
Diff.13.4
Over / Under80% / 20%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paisas 4–0–2 Caribbean Storm Islands
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Colombia Liga | Caribbean Storm Islands | 57-75 | Paisas |
| 11/04/26 Colombia Liga | Caribbean Storm Islands | 68-78 | Paisas |
| 21/10/25 Colombia Liga | Paisas | 79-83 | Caribbean Storm Islands |
| 20/10/25 Colombia Liga | Paisas | 65-61 | Caribbean Storm Islands |
| 07/07/25 Colombia Liga | Caribbean Storm Islands | 79-108 | Paisas |
| 06/07/25 Colombia Liga | Caribbean Storm Islands | 118-74 | Paisas |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paisas | Caribbean Storm Islands |
|---|---|---|
| Caimanes del Villavicencio | 105-97 W | 92-79 W |
| Cimarrones | 86-79 W | 55-91 L |
| Piratas de Bogota | 99-82 W | 47-91 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Paisas (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paisas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
73-78 | L |
| 07/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
98-82 | W |
| 04/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
77-110 | L |
| 03/06 | Toros del Valle Colombia Liga |
101-102 | L |
| 26/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
105-97 | W |
| 23/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
88-81 | W |
| 22/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
80-75 | W |
| 09/05 | Cimarrones Colombia Liga |
86-79 | W |
| 09/05 | Cimarrones Colombia Liga |
116-89 | W |
| 06/05 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
99-82 | W |
Caribbean Storm Islands
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
92-79 | W |
| 11/05 | Caimanes del Villavicencio Colombia Liga |
83-90 | L |
| 08/05 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
96-103 | L |
| 07/05 | Motilones Del Norte Colombia Liga |
71-80 | L |
| 02/05 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
47-91 | L |
| 01/05 | Piratas de Bogota Colombia Liga |
71-106 | L |
| 28/04 | Cimarrones Colombia Liga |
55-91 | L |
| 27/04 | Cimarrones Colombia Liga |
65-90 | L |
| 19/04 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
89-96 | L |
| 18/04 | Sabios de Manizales Colombia Liga |
80-96 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paisas vs Caribbean Storm Islands?
Our model gives 90% to Paisas.
How many points are expected in Paisas vs Caribbean Storm Islands?
The model estimates 165.9 total points (Paisas 91.9 · Caribbean Storm Islands 74).