Basketball · Chile LNB · 06/10, 01:00
Prediction: CD Espanol Talca vs Universidad Catolica
Team pages: CD Espanol Talca · Universidad Catolica
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158Total
CD Espanol Talca74.5
Universidad Catolica83.5
1X2
CD Espanol Talca
Universidad Catolica
Recent form · 10 last
CD Espanol Talca
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Universidad Catolica
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Espanol Talca
1–5
Universidad Catolica
(6 last)
- Universidad Catolica81-70CD Espanol Talca
- Universidad Catolica99-80CD Espanol Talca
- CD Espanol Talca81-93Universidad Catolica
- CD Espanol Talca86-72Universidad Catolica
- Universidad Catolica81-74CD Espanol Talca
- CD Espanol Talca54-61Universidad Catolica
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Espanol Talca 1382 · Universidad Catolica 1473
| CD Espanol Talca | Universidad Catolica | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
Estimated total (ours)
158 points · Bet365 line 156.5 · +1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points158CD Espanol Talca 74.5 · Universidad Catolica 83.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad Catolica (rating 1382 vs 1473).
- Universidad Catolica is a clear favourite (74% market).
- H2H favours Universidad Catolica: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| CD Espanol Talca | Universidad Catolica | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 75.6 / 89.8 | 72.2 / 80.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75 / 88.8 | 77.8 / 79.6 |
| Est. result | 75 | 84 |
Est. total158
Line O/U156.5
Diff.1.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Espanol Talca 1–0–5 Universidad Catolica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/26 Chile LNB | Universidad Catolica | 81-70 | CD Espanol Talca |
| 01/08/26 Chile LNB | Universidad Catolica | 99-80 | CD Espanol Talca |
| 11/07/26 Chile LNB | CD Espanol Talca | 81-93 | Universidad Catolica |
| 27/04/26 Chile LNB | CD Espanol Talca | 86-72 | Universidad Catolica |
| 06/04/26 Chile LNB | Universidad Catolica | 81-74 | CD Espanol Talca |
| 20/10/25 Chile LNB | CD Espanol Talca | 54-61 | Universidad Catolica |
Standings · Chile LNB · LNB 2026, Clausura, Relegation Round
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Animas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 404 | 364 | 9 |
| 2 | CD Castro | 5 | 3 | 2 | 413 | 392 | 8 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 314 | 322 | 7 |
| 4 | CSD Colo Colo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 425 | 409 | 7 |
| 5 | CD Espanol Talca | 5 | 0 | 5 | 375 | 444 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Espanol Talca | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Colo Colo | 76-115 L | 87-72 W |
| Las Animas | 77-81 L | 61-96 L |
| CD Castro | 78-86 L | 85-84 W |
| Colegio Los Leones | 69-96 L | 76-79 L |
| CDU Concepcion | 80-103 L | 54-79 L |
| Puente Alto | 79-104 L | 67-80 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad Catolica (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Espanol Talca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
76-115 | L |
| 25/09 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
77-81 | L |
| 23/09 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
78-86 | L |
| 15/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile LNB |
70-81 | L |
| 13/09 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
74-81 | L |
| 17/08 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
69-96 | L |
| 15/08 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
80-103 | L |
| 10/08 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
79-104 | L |
| 07/08 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
73-84 | L |
| 03/08 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
80-67 | W |
Universidad Catolica
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | CSD Colo Colo Chile LNB |
87-72 | W |
| 29/09 | Las Animas Chile LNB |
61-96 | L |
| 27/09 | CD Castro Chile LNB |
85-84 | W |
| 15/09 | CD Espanol Talca Chile LNB |
81-70 | W |
| 08/09 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
75-76 | L |
| 04/09 | Puerto Varas Chile LNB |
62-83 | L |
| 18/08 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
76-79 | L |
| 16/08 | Puente Alto Chile LNB |
67-80 | L |
| 10/08 | CDU Concepcion Chile LNB |
54-79 | L |
| 08/08 | Colegio Los Leones Chile LNB |
74-87 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Espanol Talca vs Universidad Catolica?
Our model gives 74% to Universidad Catolica.
How many points are expected in CD Espanol Talca vs Universidad Catolica?
The model estimates 158 total points (CD Espanol Talca 74.5 · Universidad Catolica 83.5).