Basketball · France LNB Espoirs U21 · 24/10, 16:30

Prediction: Nanterre U21 vs Cholet Basket U21

Team pages: Nanterre U21 · Cholet Basket U21

Prediction summary

Estimated points

157.4Total

Nanterre U2179.4

Cholet Basket U2178

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

54% 46%

Nanterre U21 Cholet Basket U21

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 163 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Nanterre U21 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Cholet Basket U21 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Nanterre U21 3–3 Cholet Basket U21 (6 last)

Cholet Basket U2189-79Nanterre U21
Nanterre U2179-68Cholet Basket U21
Cholet Basket U2179-93Nanterre U21
Nanterre U2194-77Cholet Basket U21
Nanterre U2166-100Cholet Basket U21
Nanterre U2161-100Cholet Basket U21

Model analysis

Estimated points157.4Nanterre U21 79.4 · Cholet Basket U21 78

Over / Under 163Under · 70%recent trend · ~156.5 pts · strength 7

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Nanterre U21	Cholet Basket U21
Points F\|A (Last 10)	75.8 / 82.6	82.7 / 71.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	75.8 / 88.8	85.8 / 68
Est. result	79	78

Est. total157.4

Line O/U163

Diff.5.6

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1631.88

Under 1631.73

Diff.: 6.5 · Est. total: 156.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:48

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.57 → 3.09▲	Pinn 3.09
2	1.36 → 1.23▼	Pinn 1.23

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 13.7%

Time*	1	2
05:09 +38’	2.57	1.36
09:29 +19’	3.09▲	1.23▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nanterre U21 3–0–3 Cholet Basket U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 France LNB Espoirs U21	Cholet Basket U21	89-79	Nanterre U21
16/05/26 France LNB Espoirs U21	Nanterre U21	79-68	Cholet Basket U21
15/11/25 France LNB Espoirs U21	Cholet Basket U21	79-93	Nanterre U21
03/02/24 France LNB Espoirs U21	Nanterre U21	94-77	Cholet Basket U21
07/01/23 France LNB Espoirs U21	Nanterre U21	66-100	Cholet Basket U21
28/04/21 France LNB Espoirs U21	Nanterre U21	61-100	Cholet Basket U21

Standings · France LNB Espoirs U21

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Cholet Basket U21	4	4	0	363	259
2	Dijon U21	4	4	0	338	260
3	Le Mans U21	4	4	0	348	273
4	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne U21	4	3	1	293	296
5	Paris U21	4	3	1	333	318
6	Roanne U21	4	3	1	382	302
7	Nancy U21	4	2	2	301	312
8	Chalon U21	4	2	2	329	334
9	Pau-Lacq-Orthez U21	4	2	2	317	365
10	Bourg U21	4	2	2	345	322
11	Strasbourg U21	4	1	3	319	331
12	Limoges U21	4	1	3	302	337
13	Nanterre U21	4	1	3	300	355
14	Gravelines U21	4	0	4	275	310
15	Boulazac U21	4	0	4	296	368
16	Saint Quentin U21	4	0	4	275	374

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nanterre U21	Cholet Basket U21
Nancy U21	66-81 L	77-61 W
Pau-Lacq-Orthez U21	91-93 L	106-72 W
Monaco U21	81-101 L	65-83 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cholet Basket U21 (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nanterre U21

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Nancy U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	66-81	L
10/10	Gravelines U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	79-71	W
02/10	Roanne U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	64-110	L
26/09	Pau-Lacq-Orthez U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	91-93	L
29/05	Cholet Basket U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	79-89	L
16/05	Cholet Basket U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	79-68	W
08/05	Gravelines U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	70-67	W
02/05	Dijon U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	76-77	L
29/04	Paris U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	73-69	W
25/04	Monaco U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	81-101	L

Cholet Basket U21

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Chalon U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	83-58	W
10/10	Pau-Lacq-Orthez U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	106-72	W
03/10	Nancy U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	77-61	W
26/09	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	97-68	W
30/05	Strasbourg U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	66-81	L
29/05	Nanterre U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	89-79	W
16/05	Nanterre U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	68-79	L
09/05	Nancy U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	81-65	W
04/05	Monaco U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	65-83	L
02/05	Boulazac U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	95-73	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nanterre U21 vs Cholet Basket U21?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Nanterre U21 54% · Cholet Basket U21 46%).

How many points are expected in Nanterre U21 vs Cholet Basket U21?

The model estimates 157.4 total points (Nanterre U21 79.4 · Cholet Basket U21 78).

Over or under 163 points?

Recent history points to under 163 points (70%).