Basketball · France LNB Espoirs U21 · 30/10, 16:00

Prediction: Dijon U21 vs Nancy U21

Team pages: Dijon U21

Prediction summary

Estimated points

152.8Total

Dijon U2184.3

Nancy U2168.5

1X2

87% 13%

Dijon U21 Nancy U21

Recent form · 10 last

Dijon U21 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Nancy U21 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Dijon U21 2–1 Nancy U21 (3 last)

Nancy U2167-68Dijon U21
Dijon U2185-68Nancy U21
Dijon U2144-96Nancy U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dijon U21 1638 · Nancy U21 1436

	Dijon U21	Nancy U21
Our model	84%	16%
Market	88%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 152.8 points · Bet365 line 149.5 · +3.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points152.8Dijon U21 84.3 · Nancy U21 68.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dijon U21 (rating 1638 vs 1436).
Dijon U21 is a clear favourite (87% market).
H2H favours Dijon U21: 2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Dijon U21	Nancy U21
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.7 / 66.6	73.1 / 83
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82.6 / 65.4	74.6 / 79.8
Est. result	84	69

Est. total152.8

Line O/U149.5

Diff.3.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.07

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14.5)1.83

2 (+14.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 149.51.83

Under 149.51.83

Diff.: 4.7 · Est. total: 154.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.07	Bet365 1.07
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7%

Time*	1	2
19:42 +9’	1.07	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dijon U21 2–0–1 Nancy U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/03/26 France LNB Espoirs U21	Nancy U21	67-68	Dijon U21
20/12/25 France LNB Espoirs U21	Dijon U21	85-68	Nancy U21
07/01/23 France LNB Espoirs U21	Dijon U21	44-96	Nancy U21

Standings · France LNB Espoirs U21

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Le Mans U21	5	5	0	444	320
2	Dijon U21	5	5	0	413	327
3	Cholet Basket U21	6	5	1	529	422
4	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne U21	5	4	1	380	368
5	Roanne U21	5	4	1	467	380
6	Paris U21	6	4	2	500	485
7	Bourg U21	5	3	2	430	395
8	Chalon U21	5	2	3	409	419
9	Nancy U21	5	2	3	373	399
10	Limoges U21	5	2	3	383	416
11	Pau-Lacq-Orthez U21	5	2	3	396	446
12	Strasbourg U21	6	2	4	463	489
13	Nanterre U21	5	1	4	374	439
14	Saint Quentin U21	6	1	5	420	508
15	Gravelines U21	5	0	5	348	395
16	Boulazac U21	5	0	5	343	464

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dijon U21	Nancy U21
Saint Quentin U21	75-67 W	81-78 W
Le Portel U21	102-66 W	76-82 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Dijon U21 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dijon U21

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	Saint Quentin U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	75-67	W
17/10	Gravelines U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	69-52	W
09/10	Limoges U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	86-79	W
03/10	Pau-Lacq-Orthez U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	95-56	W
25/09	Strasbourg U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	88-73	W
31/05	Strasbourg U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	69-65	W
30/05	Bourg U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	85-72	W
29/05	Ada Blois U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	87-63	W
16/05	Le Portel U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	102-66	W
09/05	Bourg U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	101-73	W

Nancy U21

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	72-87	L
17/10	Nanterre U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	81-66	W
10/10	Chalon U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	87-81	W
03/10	Cholet Basket U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	61-77	L
26/09	Paris U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	72-88	L
16/05	Saint Quentin U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	81-78	W
09/05	Cholet Basket U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	65-81	L
30/04	Le Mans U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	64-106	L
25/04	Chalon U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	72-84	L
18/04	Le Portel U21 France LNB Espoirs U21	76-82	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dijon U21 vs Nancy U21?

Our model gives 87% to Dijon U21.

How many points are expected in Dijon U21 vs Nancy U21?

The model estimates 152.8 total points (Dijon U21 84.3 · Nancy U21 68.5).