Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 06/10, 03:05
Prediction: Quimsa vs Atenas
Prediction summary
Estimated points
165.2Total
Quimsa87.8
Atenas77.4
1X2
Quimsa
Atenas
Recent form · 10 last
Quimsa
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Atenas
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Quimsa
5–1
Atenas
(6 last)
- Atenas73-92Quimsa
- Quimsa102-66Atenas
- Quimsa119-76Atenas
- Atenas77-76Quimsa
- Atenas73-91Quimsa
- Quimsa96-74Atenas
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quimsa 1555 · Atenas 1481
| Quimsa | Atenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
165.2 points · Bet365 line 160.5 · +4.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points165.2Quimsa 87.8 · Atenas 77.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quimsa (rating 1555 vs 1481).
- Quimsa is a clear favourite (77% market).
- H2H favours Quimsa: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Quimsa | Atenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 83.5 / 77.5 | 81.9 / 84.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 79.4 / 71.4 | 77.2 / 80.8 |
| Est. result | 88 | 77 |
Est. total165.2
Line O/U160.5
Diff.4.7
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quimsa 5–0–1 Atenas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Atenas | 73-92 | Quimsa |
| 15/10/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Quimsa | 102-66 | Atenas |
| 01/05/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Quimsa | 119-76 | Atenas |
| 29/11/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Atenas | 77-76 | Quimsa |
| 27/01/23 Argentina Liga Nacional | Atenas | 73-91 | Quimsa |
| 07/12/22 Argentina Liga Nacional | Quimsa | 96-74 | Atenas |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 144 | 4 |
| 2 | Argentino Junin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 79 | 68 | 2 |
| 3 | Regatas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 73 | 63 | 2 |
| 4 | Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 57 | 2 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 241 | 222 | 5 |
| 6 | Instituto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 144 | 146 | 3 |
| 6 | La Union Formosa | 2 | 1 | 1 | 176 | 178 | 3 |
| 8 | Platense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 235 | 258 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Independiente de Oliva | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Obera TC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Atenas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 83 | 1 |
| 15 | Olimpico | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 82 | 1 |
| 15 | San Martin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 73 | 81 | 1 |
| 17 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 1 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 79 | 1 |
| 18 | Lanus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 92 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quimsa
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
94-67 | W |
| 18/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
88-60 | W |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
77-74 | W |
| 12/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
59-76 | L |
| 09/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
79-80 | L |
| 07/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
73-82 | L |
| 01/06 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
94-83 | W |
| 30/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-99 | L |
| 26/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
91-78 | W |
| 23/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
88-76 | W |
Atenas
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
77-88 | L |
| 10/05 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
53-61 | L |
| 07/05 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
78-84 | L |
| 05/05 | Argentino Junin Argentina Liga Nacional |
96-93 | W |
| 20/04 | Obera TC Argentina Liga Nacional |
82-78 | W |
| 18/04 | La Union Formosa Argentina Liga Nacional |
84-82 | W |
| 15/04 | Quimsa Argentina Liga Nacional |
73-92 | L |
| 11/04 | Independiente de Oliva Argentina Liga Nacional |
104-108 | L |
| 05/04 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
77-72 | W |
| 01/04 | Penarol Argentina Liga Nacional |
95-85 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quimsa vs Atenas?
Our model gives 77% to Quimsa.
How many points are expected in Quimsa vs Atenas?
The model estimates 165.2 total points (Quimsa 87.8 · Atenas 77.4).