Basketball · Argentina Liga Nacional · 24/10, 02:00
Prediction: Argentino Junin vs Quimsa
Team pages: Argentino Junin · Quimsa
Prediction summary
Estimated points
161.9Total
Argentino Junin78.1
Quimsa83.9
1X2
Argentino Junin
Quimsa
Recent form · 10 last
Argentino Junin
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Quimsa
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Argentino Junin
0–6
Quimsa
(6 last)
- Argentino Junin75-95Quimsa
- Quimsa99-71Argentino Junin
- Argentino Junin67-99Quimsa
- Quimsa100-75Argentino Junin
- Argentino Junin72-74Quimsa
- Quimsa84-78Argentino Junin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Argentino Junin 1500 · Quimsa 1561
| Argentino Junin | Quimsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
Estimated total (ours)
161.9 points · Bet365 line 165.5 · -3.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points161.9Argentino Junin 78.1 · Quimsa 83.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Quimsa (rating 1500 vs 1561).
- Quimsa is a clear favourite (66% market).
- H2H favours Quimsa: 6-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Argentino Junin | Quimsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 79.6 / 80.2 | 84.4 / 79.4 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 83 / 78.6 | 89.4 / 74.8 |
| Est. result | 78 | 84 |
Est. total161.9
Line O/U165.5
Diff.3.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino Junin 0–0–6 Quimsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Argentina Liga Nacional | Argentino Junin | 75-95 | Quimsa |
| 29/09/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Quimsa | 99-71 | Argentino Junin |
| 24/04/25 Argentina Liga Nacional | Argentino Junin | 67-99 | Quimsa |
| 30/10/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Quimsa | 100-75 | Argentino Junin |
| 27/04/24 Argentina Liga Nacional | Argentino Junin | 72-74 | Quimsa |
| 28/11/23 Argentina Liga Nacional | Quimsa | 84-78 | Argentino Junin |
Standings · Argentina Liga Nacional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 282 | 240 | 6 |
| 2 | Penarol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 238 | 219 | 6 |
| 3 | Argentino Junin | 4 | 3 | 1 | 327 | 316 | 7 |
| 4 | Racing de Chivilcoy | 4 | 3 | 1 | 356 | 347 | 7 |
| 5 | Instituto | 4 | 3 | 1 | 316 | 313 | 7 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Comodoro | 6 | 4 | 2 | 479 | 465 | 10 |
| 7 | Atenas | 3 | 2 | 1 | 259 | 256 | 5 |
| 8 | Olimpico | 5 | 3 | 2 | 443 | 419 | 8 |
| 9 | Independiente de Oliva | 2 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 190 | 3 |
| 10 | Regatas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 153 | 146 | 3 |
| 11 | Ferrocarril Oeste | 5 | 2 | 3 | 431 | 440 | 7 |
| 12 | Platense | 5 | 2 | 3 | 402 | 424 | 7 |
| 13 | San Lorenzo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 247 | 243 | 4 |
| 14 | La Union Formosa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 244 | 252 | 4 |
| 15 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 1 | 3 | 354 | 355 | 5 |
| 16 | Lanus | 5 | 1 | 4 | 384 | 417 | 6 |
| 17 | Obera TC | 5 | 1 | 4 | 367 | 406 | 6 |
| 18 | San Martin | 4 | 0 | 4 | 361 | 395 | 4 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Argentino Junin | Quimsa |
|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 84-82 W | 105-96 W |
| Gimnasia Comodoro | 82-87 L | 88-60 W |
| Atenas | 88-77 W | 83-77 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Quimsa (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Argentino Junin
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
84-82 | W |
| 13/10 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
82-87 | L |
| 11/10 | San Martin Argentina Liga Nacional |
82-79 | W |
| 01/10 | Ferrocarril Oeste Argentina Liga Nacional |
79-68 | W |
| 13/05 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
88-77 | W |
| 10/05 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
61-53 | W |
| 07/05 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
84-78 | W |
| 05/05 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
93-96 | L |
| 20/04 | Regatas Argentina Liga Nacional |
69-93 | L |
| 18/04 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
74-89 | L |
Quimsa
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
105-96 | W |
| 06/10 | Atenas Argentina Liga Nacional |
83-77 | W |
| 04/10 | Platense Argentina Liga Nacional |
94-67 | W |
| 18/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
88-60 | W |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
77-74 | W |
| 12/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
59-76 | L |
| 09/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
79-80 | L |
| 07/06 | Gimnasia Comodoro Argentina Liga Nacional |
73-82 | L |
| 01/06 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
94-83 | W |
| 30/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Nacional |
92-99 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Argentino Junin vs Quimsa?
Our model gives 66% to Quimsa.
How many points are expected in Argentino Junin vs Quimsa?
The model estimates 161.9 total points (Argentino Junin 78.1 · Quimsa 83.9).