Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor Women · 18/09, 03:30

Prediction: LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) vs Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)

Team pages: LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) · Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

141.7Total

LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)71.2

Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)70.5

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

52% 48%

LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 139.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWWLL

Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) 1–4 Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) (5 last)

LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)57-64Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)
Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)76-73LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)
Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)76-73LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)
LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)76-71Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)
Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)78-55LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) 1505 · Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) 1508

	LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)
Our model	62%	38%
Market	50%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 141.7 points · Bet365 line 139.5 · +2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points141.7LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) 71.2 · Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) 70.5

Over / Under 139.5Under · 70%recent trend · ~132.7 pts · strength 7

Match keys

H2H favours Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor): 4-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	68.4 / 65.3	62.8 / 61.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	72.4 / 69	65 / 65.8
Est. result	71	71

Est. total141.7

Line O/U139.5

Diff.2.2

Over / Under30% / 70%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.83

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.74

Line ⓘ

Over 139.51.83

Under 139.51.83

Diff.: 10.3 · Est. total: 129.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
19:27 +22’	1.83	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) 1–0–4 Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)	57-64	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)
25/03/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)	76-73	LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)
25/03/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)	76-73	LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)
10/04/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)	76-71	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)
08/03/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)	78-55	LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)
Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)	71-81 L	38-78 L
San Salvador (W) (Mayor)	39-88 L	54-66 L
Capitalinas (W) (Mayor)	90-50 W	89-38 W
Ahuachapan (W) (Mayor)	81-63 W	78-65 W
Santa Ana BC (W) (Mayor)	72-53 W	66-82 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)

LWLLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
09/09	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	71-81	L
07/09	San Salvador (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	39-88	L
04/09	Capitalinas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	90-50	W
31/08	Ahuachapan (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	81-63	W
31/08	Ahuachapan (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	81-63	W
30/04	Santa Ana BC (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	72-53	W
23/04	Metapan (W) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	58-78	L
18/04	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	57-64	L
16/04	Capitalinas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	76-48	W
12/04	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	59-65	L

Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)

WWWLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/09	Santa Ana BC (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	66-82	L
14/09	Ahuachapan (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	78-65	W
12/09	San Salvador (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	54-66	L
10/09	Capitalinas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	89-38	W
03/09	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	38-78	L
09/05	San Salvador (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	53-79	L
07/05	San Salvador (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	45-53	L
02/05	Capitalinas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	67-50	W
27/04	Ahuachapan (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	72-56	W
23/04	Santa Ana BC (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	66-52	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) vs Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) 52% · Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) 48%).

How many points are expected in LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) vs Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)?

The model estimates 141.7 total points (LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) 71.2 · Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) 70.5).

Over or under 139.5 points?

Recent history points to under 139.5 points (70%).