Basketball · El Salvador Liga Mayor Women · 23/09, 03:30

Prediction: Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) vs San Salvador (W) (Mayor)

Team pages: Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) · San Salvador (W) (Mayor)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

143Total

Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)64.8

San Salvador (W) (Mayor)78.2

1X2

17% 83%

Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) San Salvador (W) (Mayor)

Recent form · 10 last

Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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San Salvador (W) (Mayor) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) 1–5 San Salvador (W) (Mayor) (6 last)

San Salvador (W) (Mayor)78-56Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)
Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)73-76San Salvador (W) (Mayor)
San Salvador (W) (Mayor)41-55Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)
San Salvador (W) (Mayor)83-78Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)
Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)62-66San Salvador (W) (Mayor)
San Salvador (W) (Mayor)76-62Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) 1550 · San Salvador (W) (Mayor) 1642

	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)	San Salvador (W) (Mayor)
Our model	50%	50%
Market	9%	91%

Estimated total (ours) 143 points · Bet365 line 133.5 · +9.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points143Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) 64.8 · San Salvador (W) (Mayor) 78.2

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Salvador (W) (Mayor) (rating 1550 vs 1642).
San Salvador (W) (Mayor) is a clear favourite (83% market).
H2H favours San Salvador (W) (Mayor): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)	San Salvador (W) (Mayor)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	71.2 / 59.2	81.8 / 49.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	78.6 / 57	84.6 / 47
Est. result	65	78

Est. total143

Line O/U133.5

Diff.9.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

110.50

21.02

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+18.5)1.83

2 (-18.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 133.51.83

Under 133.51.83

Diff.: 2.75 · Est. total: 130.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	10.50 → 10.50	Bet365 10.50
2	1.02 → 1.02	Bet365 1.02

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.1% Pinnacle margin 13.9%

Time*	1	2
17:39 +7’	10.50	1.02

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
17:47 +59’	6.59	1.01

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) 1–0–5 San Salvador (W) (Mayor)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	San Salvador (W) (Mayor)	78-56	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)
08/04/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)	73-76	San Salvador (W) (Mayor)
14/03/26 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	San Salvador (W) (Mayor)	41-55	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)
16/10/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	San Salvador (W) (Mayor)	83-78	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)
25/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)	62-66	San Salvador (W) (Mayor)
07/09/25 El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	San Salvador (W) (Mayor)	76-62	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)	San Salvador (W) (Mayor)
Ahuachapan (W) (Mayor)	87-58 W	99-44 W
Capitalinas (W) (Mayor)	88-52 W	89-28 W
Santa Ana BC (W) (Mayor)	59-66 L	81-70 W
LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor)	81-71 W	88-39 W
Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor)	78-38 W	66-54 W
Metapan (W)	78-58 W	83-56 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	6 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: San Salvador (W) (Mayor) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
21/09	Ahuachapan (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	87-58	W
17/09	Capitalinas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	88-52	W
11/09	Santa Ana BC (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	59-66	L
09/09	LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	81-71	W
03/09	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	78-38	W
30/08	San Salvador (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	56-78	L
08/05	Metapan (W) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	78-58	W
06/05	Metapan (W) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	72-51	W
04/05	Metapan (W) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	59-82	L
26/04	Ahuachapan (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	54-38	W

San Salvador (W) (Mayor)

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Ahuachapan (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	99-44	W
15/09	Capitalinas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	89-28	W
12/09	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	66-54	W
07/09	LM Monsenor Romero (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	88-39	W
05/09	Santa Ana BC (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	81-70	W
30/08	Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	78-56	W
09/05	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	79-53	W
07/05	Santa Tecla Imdels (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	53-45	W
25/04	Metapan (W) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	83-56	W
22/04	Capitalinas (W) (Mayor) El Salvador Liga Mayor Women	102-48	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) vs San Salvador (W) (Mayor)?

Our model gives 83% to San Salvador (W) (Mayor).

How many points are expected in Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) vs San Salvador (W) (Mayor)?

The model estimates 143 total points (Salvadorenas (W) (Mayor) 64.8 · San Salvador (W) (Mayor) 78.2).