Basketball · Vietnam VBA · 22/09, 14:30

Prediction: Saigon Heat vs Hanoi Buffaloes

Team pages: Saigon Heat · Hanoi Buffaloes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

173.7Total

Saigon Heat86.2

Hanoi Buffaloes87.6

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

46% 54%

Saigon Heat Hanoi Buffaloes

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Saigon Heat 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Hanoi Buffaloes 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Saigon Heat 1–5 Hanoi Buffaloes (6 last)

Hanoi Buffaloes82-88Saigon Heat
Hanoi Buffaloes92-76Saigon Heat
Hanoi Buffaloes90-82Saigon Heat
Saigon Heat86-92Hanoi Buffaloes
Saigon Heat81-84Hanoi Buffaloes
Saigon Heat95-108Hanoi Buffaloes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saigon Heat 1515 · Hanoi Buffaloes 1573

	Saigon Heat	Hanoi Buffaloes
Our model	55%	45%
Market	44%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 173.7 points · Bet365 line 170.5 · +3.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points173.7Saigon Heat 86.2 · Hanoi Buffaloes 87.6

Match keys

H2H favours Hanoi Buffaloes: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saigon Heat	Hanoi Buffaloes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	79.3 / 81.7	100.7 / 87.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	82.2 / 84.8	92.4 / 83.6
Est. result	86	88

Est. total173.7

Line O/U170.5

Diff.3.2

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.12

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.83

2 (-2.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 170.51.83

Under 170.51.83

Diff.: 4.05 · Est. total: 174.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.12 → 2.12	Bet365 2.12
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
15:41 +4’	2.12	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Saigon Heat 1–0–5 Hanoi Buffaloes

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/09/26 Vietnam VBA	Hanoi Buffaloes	82-88	Saigon Heat
30/08/26 Vietnam VBA	Hanoi Buffaloes	92-76	Saigon Heat
28/08/26 Vietnam VBA	Hanoi Buffaloes	90-82	Saigon Heat
21/06/26 Vietnam VBA	Saigon Heat	86-92	Hanoi Buffaloes
19/06/26 Vietnam VBA	Saigon Heat	81-84	Hanoi Buffaloes
07/09/25 Vietnam VBA	Saigon Heat	95-108	Hanoi Buffaloes

Standings · Vietnam VBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hanoi Buffaloes	20	19	1	1993	1695
2	Saigon Heat	20	12	8	1730	1573
3	Nha Trang Dolphins	20	12	8	1815	1758
4	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	20	10	10	1695	1679
5	Cantho Catfish	20	7	13	1646	1777
6	Danang Dragons	20	0	20	1599	1996

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Saigon Heat	Hanoi Buffaloes
Nha Trang Dolphins	77-75 W	108-109 L
Ho Chi Minh City Wings	74-66 W	105-96 W
Cantho Catfish	77-75 W	109-94 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hanoi Buffaloes (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saigon Heat

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	88-82	W
10/09	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	77-75	W
06/09	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	88-85	W
30/08	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	76-92	L
28/08	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	82-90	L
23/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	74-66	W
21/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	71-76	L
08/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	77-96	L
06/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	83-80	W
02/08	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	77-75	W

Hanoi Buffaloes

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Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
19/09	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	82-88	L
09/09	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	105-96	W
05/09	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	93-76	W
30/08	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	92-76	W
28/08	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	90-82	W
16/08	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	109-94	W
14/08	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	91-73	W
09/08	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	120-91	W
07/08	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	117-89	W
19/07	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	108-109	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saigon Heat vs Hanoi Buffaloes?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Saigon Heat 46% · Hanoi Buffaloes 54%).

How many points are expected in Saigon Heat vs Hanoi Buffaloes?

The model estimates 173.7 total points (Saigon Heat 86.2 · Hanoi Buffaloes 87.6).