Basketball · Vietnam VBA · 24/09, 14:30

Prediction: Saigon Heat vs Hanoi Buffaloes

Team pages: Saigon Heat · Hanoi Buffaloes

Prediction summary

Estimated points

172.9Total

Saigon Heat85.9

Hanoi Buffaloes87

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

47% 53%

Saigon Heat Hanoi Buffaloes

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Saigon Heat 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWWWW

Hanoi Buffaloes 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Saigon Heat 2–4 Hanoi Buffaloes (6 last)

Saigon Heat99-74Hanoi Buffaloes
Hanoi Buffaloes82-88Saigon Heat
Hanoi Buffaloes92-76Saigon Heat
Hanoi Buffaloes90-82Saigon Heat
Saigon Heat86-92Hanoi Buffaloes
Saigon Heat81-84Hanoi Buffaloes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Saigon Heat 1520 · Hanoi Buffaloes 1564

	Saigon Heat	Hanoi Buffaloes
Our model	57%	43%
Market	45%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 172.9 points · Bet365 line 169.5 · +3.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points172.9Saigon Heat 85.9 · Hanoi Buffaloes 87

Match keys

H2H favours Hanoi Buffaloes: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Saigon Heat	Hanoi Buffaloes
Points F\|A (Last 10)	81.5 / 81.6	97.3 / 86.4
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.6 / 81.6	89.2 / 87
Est. result	86	87

Est. total172.9

Line O/U169.5

Diff.3.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.05

21.69

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2)1.83

2 (-2)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 169.51.83

Under 169.51.83

Diff.: 3.9 · Est. total: 173.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 2.05▲	Bet365 2.05
2	2.12 → 1.69▼	Bet365 1.69

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	2
09:58 +49’	1.65	2.12
18:35 +11’	2.05▲	1.69▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Saigon Heat 2–0–4 Hanoi Buffaloes

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/09/26 Vietnam VBA	Saigon Heat	99-74	Hanoi Buffaloes
19/09/26 Vietnam VBA	Hanoi Buffaloes	82-88	Saigon Heat
30/08/26 Vietnam VBA	Hanoi Buffaloes	92-76	Saigon Heat
28/08/26 Vietnam VBA	Hanoi Buffaloes	90-82	Saigon Heat
21/06/26 Vietnam VBA	Saigon Heat	86-92	Hanoi Buffaloes
19/06/26 Vietnam VBA	Saigon Heat	81-84	Hanoi Buffaloes

Standings · Vietnam VBA

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Hanoi Buffaloes	20	19	1	1993	1695
2	Saigon Heat	20	12	8	1730	1573
3	Nha Trang Dolphins	20	12	8	1815	1758
4	Ho Chi Minh City Wings	20	10	10	1695	1679
5	Cantho Catfish	20	7	13	1646	1777
6	Danang Dragons	20	0	20	1599	1996

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Saigon Heat

WLLWLLWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/09	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	99-74	W
19/09	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	88-82	W
10/09	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	77-75	W
06/09	Nha Trang Dolphins Vietnam VBA	88-85	W
30/08	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	76-92	L
28/08	Hanoi Buffaloes Vietnam VBA	82-90	L
23/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	74-66	W
21/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	71-76	L
08/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	77-96	L
06/08	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	83-80	W

Hanoi Buffaloes

WWWWWWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
22/09	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	74-99	L
19/09	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	82-88	L
09/09	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	105-96	W
05/09	Ho Chi Minh City Wings Vietnam VBA	93-76	W
30/08	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	92-76	W
28/08	Saigon Heat Vietnam VBA	90-82	W
16/08	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	109-94	W
14/08	Cantho Catfish Vietnam VBA	91-73	W
09/08	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	120-91	W
07/08	Danang Dragons Vietnam VBA	117-89	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Saigon Heat vs Hanoi Buffaloes?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Saigon Heat 47% · Hanoi Buffaloes 53%).

How many points are expected in Saigon Heat vs Hanoi Buffaloes?

The model estimates 172.9 total points (Saigon Heat 85.9 · Hanoi Buffaloes 87).